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icon for 阿拉戈斯州參議院選舉:第二名

阿拉戈斯州參議院選舉:第二名

icon for 阿拉戈斯州參議院選舉:第二名

阿拉戈斯州參議院選舉:第二名

雷南 45%

Dr. Wanderley 44%

達維·達維諾·菲略 44%

瑪麗娜·JHC 44%

Polymarket
最新

雷南 45%

Dr. Wanderley 44%

達維·達維諾·菲略 44%

瑪麗娜·JHC 44%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 雷南

雷南

$0 交易量

45%

icon for Dr. Wanderley

Dr. Wanderley

$0 交易量

44%

icon for 達維·達維諾·菲略

達維·達維諾·菲略

$0 交易量

44%

icon for 瑪麗娜·JHC

瑪麗娜·JHC

$0 交易量

44%

icon for 亞歷山大·弗萊明

亞歷山大·弗萊明

$0 交易量

42%

icon for 馬里森

馬里森

$0 交易量

42%

icon for 亞瑟·利拉

亞瑟·利拉

$0 交易量

42%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Alagoas Senate contest for the two seats up on October 4 remains highly fragmented, with Renan Calheiros, Arthur Lira, Dr. Wanderley, Alexandre Fleming, Davi Davino Filho, Mariedson, and Marina JHC among the leading names. Recent party conventions and pre-candidacy launches through mid-2026 have consolidated support around established MDB and PP figures while leaving the left’s vote largely behind Fleming and smaller parties. No dominant polling leader has emerged for second place, and trader consensus reflects this balance amid shifting alliances, limited recent surveys, and the structural advantage of electing the top two finishers. Late endorsements, turnout patterns in key regions, or last-minute withdrawals could widen gaps before ballots close.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Alagoas Senate contest for the two seats up on October 4 remains highly fragmented, with Renan Calheiros, Arthur Lira, Dr. Wanderley, Alexandre Fleming, Davi Davino Filho, Mariedson, and Marina JHC among the leading names. Recent party conventions and pre-candidacy launches through mid-2026 have consolidated support around established MDB and PP figures while leaving the left’s vote largely behind Fleming and smaller parties. No dominant polling leader has emerged for second place, and trader consensus reflects this balance amid shifting alliances, limited recent surveys, and the structural advantage of electing the top two finishers. Late endorsements, turnout patterns in key regions, or last-minute withdrawals could widen gaps before ballots close.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"阿拉戈斯州參議院選舉:第二名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "雷南" at 45%, followed by "Dr. Wanderley" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"阿拉戈斯州參議院選舉:第二名" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "阿拉戈斯州參議院選舉:第二名," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "阿拉戈斯州參議院選舉:第二名" is "雷南" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dr. Wanderley" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "阿拉戈斯州參議院選舉:第二名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.