The crowded 2026 Alaska gubernatorial field, shaped by term limits on incumbent Mike Dunleavy, features a nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18 that advances candidates to a November general election under ranked-choice voting. Tom Begich leads trader consensus after early polling shows him ahead in a state with a divided Republican electorate and a single prominent Democratic contender, bolstered by his prior state Senate experience and family political ties. Bernadette Wilson holds the next position among Republicans due to her recent running-mate announcement and pledge to exit if she fails to lead GOP primary vote-getters. The remaining field, including Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, Treg Taylor, Click Bishop, and Nancy Dahlstrom, reflects a fragmented Republican primary where no single candidate has consolidated support ahead of the filing deadline. Upcoming primary dynamics and any shifts in polling averages could further influence advancement probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於湯姆·貝吉奇 39%
伯納黛特·威爾遜 25%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 11.3%
特雷格·泰勒 10.2%
$972,541 交易量
$972,541 交易量

湯姆·貝吉奇
39%

伯納黛特·威爾遜
25%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
11%

特雷格·泰勒
10%

Click Bishop
6%

南希·達爾斯特羅姆
6%

大衛·布朗森
6%

馬特·赫伊拉拉
1%

亞當·克拉姆
1%

瑪麗·佩爾托拉
<1%

馬特·克拉曼
<1%

詹姆斯·帕金
<1%

埃德娜·德弗里斯
<1%

雪莉·休斯
<1%

麗莎·穆爾科斯基
<1%

漢克·克羅爾
<1%

布魯斯·沃爾登
<1%
湯姆·貝吉奇 39%
伯納黛特·威爾遜 25%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 11.3%
特雷格·泰勒 10.2%
$972,541 交易量
$972,541 交易量

湯姆·貝吉奇
39%

伯納黛特·威爾遜
25%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
11%

特雷格·泰勒
10%

Click Bishop
6%

南希·達爾斯特羅姆
6%

大衛·布朗森
6%

馬特·赫伊拉拉
1%

亞當·克拉姆
1%

瑪麗·佩爾托拉
<1%

馬特·克拉曼
<1%

詹姆斯·帕金
<1%

埃德娜·德弗里斯
<1%

雪莉·休斯
<1%

麗莎·穆爾科斯基
<1%

漢克·克羅爾
<1%

布魯斯·沃爾登
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
市場開放時間: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The crowded 2026 Alaska gubernatorial field, shaped by term limits on incumbent Mike Dunleavy, features a nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18 that advances candidates to a November general election under ranked-choice voting. Tom Begich leads trader consensus after early polling shows him ahead in a state with a divided Republican electorate and a single prominent Democratic contender, bolstered by his prior state Senate experience and family political ties. Bernadette Wilson holds the next position among Republicans due to her recent running-mate announcement and pledge to exit if she fails to lead GOP primary vote-getters. The remaining field, including Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, Treg Taylor, Click Bishop, and Nancy Dahlstrom, reflects a fragmented Republican primary where no single candidate has consolidated support ahead of the filing deadline. Upcoming primary dynamics and any shifts in polling averages could further influence advancement probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions