Skip to main content
icon for 阿馬帕省省長選舉贏家
政治·巴西

阿馬帕省省長選舉贏家

icon for 阿馬帕省省長選舉贏家
政治·巴西

阿馬帕省省長選舉贏家

弗爾蘭博士 93%

馬科斯·雷亞特吉 3.1%

Clécio Luís 3.0%

賈伊羅·帕爾赫塔 2.8%

Polymarket
最新

弗爾蘭博士 93%

馬科斯·雷亞特吉 3.1%

Clécio Luís 3.0%

賈伊羅·帕爾赫塔 2.8%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 弗爾蘭博士

弗爾蘭博士

$975 交易量

93%

icon for 馬科斯·雷亞特吉

馬科斯·雷亞特吉

$209 交易量

3%

icon for Clécio Luís

Clécio Luís

$169 交易量

3%

icon for 賈伊羅·帕爾赫塔

賈伊羅·帕爾赫塔

$374 交易量

3%

icon for 卡洛斯·克雷

卡洛斯·克雷

$128 交易量

1%

The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former Macapá mayor, maintains a commanding position in the Amapá gubernatorial race due to consistent leads of 60-70% in recent voter intention surveys, early official candidacy registration ahead of the October 4, 2026 election, and strong party nomination support. Traders price this frontrunner status at 93% implied probability, reflecting name recognition and polling momentum over rivals including Clécio Luís (União Brasil) and lower-polling contenders such as Jairo Palheta. The wide margin aligns with historical patterns for well-established state candidates entering with broad initial backing. Shifts could still occur through late-campaign developments, opponent alliances, turnout variations among key regional blocs, or unforeseen eligibility rulings before voting concludes.

The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$1,856
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former Macapá mayor, maintains a commanding position in the Amapá gubernatorial race due to consistent leads of 60-70% in recent voter intention surveys, early official candidacy registration ahead of the October 4, 2026 election, and strong party nomination support. Traders price this frontrunner status at 93% implied probability, reflecting name recognition and polling momentum over rivals including Clécio Luís (União Brasil) and lower-polling contenders such as Jairo Palheta. The wide margin aligns with historical patterns for well-established state candidates entering with broad initial backing. Shifts could still occur through late-campaign developments, opponent alliances, turnout variations among key regional blocs, or unforeseen eligibility rulings before voting concludes.

The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$1,856
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

相關

icon for 塔爾西西奧·德·弗雷塔斯會贏得2026年聖保羅州長選舉嗎？

塔爾西西奧·德·弗雷塔斯會贏得2026年聖保羅州長選舉嗎？

97%
是
icon for 哈娜·加桑會贏得帕拉州州長選舉嗎？

哈娜·加桑會贏得帕拉州州長選舉嗎？

45%
是
icon for Valmir de Francisquinho會贏得2026年塞爾希培州長選舉嗎？

Valmir de Francisquinho會贏得2026年塞爾希培州長選舉嗎？

27%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"阿馬帕省省長選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "弗爾蘭博士" at 93%, followed by "馬科斯·雷亞特吉" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"阿馬帕省省長選舉贏家" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "阿馬帕省省長選舉贏家," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "阿馬帕省省長選舉贏家" is "弗爾蘭博士" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "馬科斯·雷亞特吉" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "阿馬帕省省長選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.