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icon for 唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年5月15日至5月22日？
政治·Tweet Markets

唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年5月15日至5月22日？

icon for 唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年5月15日至5月22日？
政治·Tweet Markets

唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年5月15日至5月22日？

5月 19

5月 22

5月 19

5月 22

POST COUNT
68
剩餘時間
POSTS
68
剩餘時間

200+ 58%

180-199 14.0%

140-159 10%

160-179 8%

Polymarket

$22,859 交易量

200+ 58%

180-199 14.0%

140-159 10%

160-179 8%

Polymarket

$22,859 交易量

60-79

$2,317 交易量

<1%

80-99

$4,871 交易量

<1%

100-119

$1,269 交易量

2%

120-139

$1,167 交易量

6%

140-159

$484 交易量

10%

160-179

$352 交易量

8%

180-199

$585 交易量

14%

200+

$941 交易量

62%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Donald Trump’s established posting patterns on Truth Social during his second term drive the current trader consensus favoring 200 or more posts for the May 15–22 window. Historical data show an average of roughly 18 posts per day across 2025, with frequent late-night and early-morning surges that have produced daily totals exceeding 50 or even 70 posts on multiple occasions. Recent analyses of thousands of posts confirm these high-volume bursts remain a consistent feature, elevating the implied probability that this week will exceed 200 entries. Scheduled events within the resolution period, including ongoing legislative activity and public appearances, provide additional catalysts that traders appear to weigh when assessing volume.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$22,859
結束日期
2026-05-22
市場開放時間
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

結算來源

https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Donald Trump’s established posting patterns on Truth Social during his second term drive the current trader consensus favoring 200 or more posts for the May 15–22 window. Historical data show an average of roughly 18 posts per day across 2025, with frequent late-night and early-morning surges that have produced daily totals exceeding 50 or even 70 posts on multiple occasions. Recent analyses of thousands of posts confirm these high-volume bursts remain a consistent feature, elevating the implied probability that this week will exceed 200 entries. Scheduled events within the resolution period, including ongoing legislative activity and public appearances, provide additional catalysts that traders appear to weigh when assessing volume.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$22,859
結束日期
2026-05-22
市場開放時間
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

結算來源

https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年5月15日至5月22日？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "200+" at 62%, followed by "180-199" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 62¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年5月15日至5月22日？" has generated $22.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年5月15日至5月22日？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年5月15日至5月22日？" is "200+" at 62%, meaning the market assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "180-199" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年5月15日至5月22日？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.