Elevated inflation risks stemming from the ongoing Middle East conflict have shifted European Central Bank monetary policy expectations firmly toward a hold or potential tightening through the end of 2026. April eurozone headline inflation rose to 3.0 percent, driven by higher energy prices, prompting the Governing Council to keep the deposit facility rate unchanged at 2 percent following its April 30 meeting. Revised staff projections now place 2026 average inflation at 2.6 percent, above the 2 percent target, while first-quarter GDP growth registered just 0.1 percent. Analysts including those at Morgan Stanley have withdrawn prior cut forecasts, and recent hawkish signals from Governing Council members have reinforced trader consensus that persistent price pressures outweigh subdued growth, supporting the current 88 percent implied probability of no rate reduction this year.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$27,913 交易量
$27,913 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$27,913 交易量
$27,913 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated inflation risks stemming from the ongoing Middle East conflict have shifted European Central Bank monetary policy expectations firmly toward a hold or potential tightening through the end of 2026. April eurozone headline inflation rose to 3.0 percent, driven by higher energy prices, prompting the Governing Council to keep the deposit facility rate unchanged at 2 percent following its April 30 meeting. Revised staff projections now place 2026 average inflation at 2.6 percent, above the 2 percent target, while first-quarter GDP growth registered just 0.1 percent. Analysts including those at Morgan Stanley have withdrawn prior cut forecasts, and recent hawkish signals from Governing Council members have reinforced trader consensus that persistent price pressures outweigh subdued growth, supporting the current 88 percent implied probability of no rate reduction this year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
交易量
$27,913結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated inflation risks stemming from the ongoing Middle East conflict have shifted European Central Bank monetary policy expectations firmly toward a hold or potential tightening through the end of 2026. April eurozone headline inflation rose to 3.0 percent, driven by higher energy prices, prompting the Governing Council to keep the deposit facility rate unchanged at 2 percent following its April 30 meeting. Revised staff projections now place 2026 average inflation at 2.6 percent, above the 2 percent target, while first-quarter GDP growth registered just 0.1 percent. Analysts including those at Morgan Stanley have withdrawn prior cut forecasts, and recent hawkish signals from Governing Council members have reinforced trader consensus that persistent price pressures outweigh subdued growth, supporting the current 88 percent implied probability of no rate reduction this year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$27,913結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Elevated inflation risks stemming from the ongoing Middle East conflict have shifted European Central Bank monetary policy expectations firmly toward a hold or potential tightening through the end of 2026. April eurozone headline inflation rose to 3.0 percent, driven by higher energy prices, prompting the Governing Council to keep the deposit facility rate unchanged at 2 percent following its April 30 meeting. Revised staff projections now place 2026 average inflation at 2.6 percent, above the 2 percent target, while first-quarter GDP growth registered just 0.1 percent. Analysts including those at Morgan Stanley have withdrawn prior cut forecasts, and recent hawkish signals from Governing Council members have reinforced trader consensus that persistent price pressures outweigh subdued growth, supporting the current 88 percent implied probability of no rate reduction this year.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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