Florida's 11th congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat, anchored by its voting history, rural and suburban demographics, and consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Daniel Webster's prior victories, including a 60%+ margin in 2024, reinforce the baseline advantage. With the August 18, 2026, primaries approaching, multiple Republican contenders are competing for the nomination while Democratic primary participants face structural headwinds in a district where GOP registration and turnout patterns favor the eventual Republican nominee. No major late-cycle shifts, scandals, or national political events have altered this positioning in the past month, sustaining trader consensus around an 82.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee to prevail in November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$18,946 交易量
$18,946 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
83%
民主黨
16%
$18,946 交易量
$18,946 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
$7,543 交易量
83%
民主黨
$11,403 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 11th congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat, anchored by its voting history, rural and suburban demographics, and consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Daniel Webster's prior victories, including a 60%+ margin in 2024, reinforce the baseline advantage. With the August 18, 2026, primaries approaching, multiple Republican contenders are competing for the nomination while Democratic primary participants face structural headwinds in a district where GOP registration and turnout patterns favor the eventual Republican nominee. No major late-cycle shifts, scandals, or national political events have altered this positioning in the past month, sustaining trader consensus around an 82.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee to prevail in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
交易量
$18,946結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 11th congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat, anchored by its voting history, rural and suburban demographics, and consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Daniel Webster's prior victories, including a 60%+ margin in 2024, reinforce the baseline advantage. With the August 18, 2026, primaries approaching, multiple Republican contenders are competing for the nomination while Democratic primary participants face structural headwinds in a district where GOP registration and turnout patterns favor the eventual Republican nominee. No major late-cycle shifts, scandals, or national political events have altered this positioning in the past month, sustaining trader consensus around an 82.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee to prevail in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$18,946結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 11th congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat, anchored by its voting history, rural and suburban demographics, and consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Daniel Webster's prior victories, including a 60%+ margin in 2024, reinforce the baseline advantage. With the August 18, 2026, primaries approaching, multiple Republican contenders are competing for the nomination while Democratic primary participants face structural headwinds in a district where GOP registration and turnout patterns favor the eventual Republican nominee. No major late-cycle shifts, scandals, or national political events have altered this positioning in the past month, sustaining trader consensus around an 82.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee to prevail in November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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