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政治·佛羅裏達州

FL-27民主黨初選獲勝者

icon for FL-27民主黨初選獲勝者
政治·佛羅裏達州

FL-27民主黨初選獲勝者

最新
Polymarket
最新

羅賓·佩格羅

$0 交易量

43%

Eliott Rodriguez

$33 交易量

43%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Multiple candidates in the August 18 Democratic primary for Florida’s 27th Congressional District keep the race fragmented, with trader consensus reflected in similar probabilities across frontrunners and the field. Robin Peguero has raised the most among Democrats, exceeding $1 million, while Eliott Rodriguez’s internal polling shows a substantial lead; other entrants including Mike Davey and Lev Parnas add further competition. Key factors sustaining the tight positioning include name recognition for the former journalist, Peguero’s prosecutorial background and fundraising edge, and shared emphasis on affordability and immigration issues. Upcoming debates, additional polling, and endorsements before the primary could shift support and clarify the nominee.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$33
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Jul 26, 2026, 4:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Multiple candidates in the August 18 Democratic primary for Florida’s 27th Congressional District keep the race fragmented, with trader consensus reflected in similar probabilities across frontrunners and the field. Robin Peguero has raised the most among Democrats, exceeding $1 million, while Eliott Rodriguez’s internal polling shows a substantial lead; other entrants including Mike Davey and Lev Parnas add further competition. Key factors sustaining the tight positioning include name recognition for the former journalist, Peguero’s prosecutorial background and fundraising edge, and shared emphasis on affordability and immigration issues. Upcoming debates, additional polling, and endorsements before the primary could shift support and clarify the nominee.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$33
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Jul 26, 2026, 4:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"FL-27民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "羅賓·佩格羅" at 43%, followed by "Eliott Rodriguez" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"FL-27民主黨初選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "FL-27民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "FL-27民主黨初選獲勝者" is "羅賓·佩格羅" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Eliott Rodriguez" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "FL-27民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.