Oleg Melnichenko holds a dominant 96.1% implied probability in the Penza Oblast gubernatorial election market due to his position as incumbent governor backed by United Russia. He secured party nomination in June 2026 and official registration in August after serving since 2021. Voting runs September 18–20 alongside national legislative contests, with four registered challengers from LDPR, A Just Russia, CPRF, and the Party of Pensioners facing limited visibility and resources. Russian regional gubernatorial races have shown consistent patterns of strong incumbent performance under the ruling party structure. Traders reflect this consensus through elevated pricing, though late developments such as turnout shortfalls, procedural disputes, or unexpected campaign events within the final voting window could still influence the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Oleg Melnichenko 96.1%
Pavel Kulikov 8.9%
Viktor Yeroshenko 3.1%
Oleg Shalyapin 2.4%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
Oleg Melnichenko
96%
Pavel Kulikov
9%
Viktor Yeroshenko
3%
Oleg Shalyapin
2%
Mikhail Lisin
2%
Oleg Melnichenko 96.1%
Pavel Kulikov 8.9%
Viktor Yeroshenko 3.1%
Oleg Shalyapin 2.4%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
Oleg Melnichenko
$372 交易量
96%
Pavel Kulikov
$594 交易量
9%
Viktor Yeroshenko
$211 交易量
3%
Oleg Shalyapin
$183 交易量
2%
Mikhail Lisin
$127 交易量
2%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Penza Oblast on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Penza Oblast gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Penza Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Penza Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.Oleg Melnichenko holds a dominant 96.1% implied probability in the Penza Oblast gubernatorial election market due to his position as incumbent governor backed by United Russia. He secured party nomination in June 2026 and official registration in August after serving since 2021. Voting runs September 18–20 alongside national legislative contests, with four registered challengers from LDPR, A Just Russia, CPRF, and the Party of Pensioners facing limited visibility and resources. Russian regional gubernatorial races have shown consistent patterns of strong incumbent performance under the ruling party structure. Traders reflect this consensus through elevated pricing, though late developments such as turnout shortfalls, procedural disputes, or unexpected campaign events within the final voting window could still influence the outcome.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Penza Oblast on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Penza Oblast gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Penza Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Penza Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Penza Oblast gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Penza Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Penza Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
市場開放時間： Jul 24, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
交易量
$1,488結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2026, 7:23 PM ETGubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Penza Oblast on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Penza Oblast gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Penza Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Penza Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.Oleg Melnichenko holds a dominant 96.1% implied probability in the Penza Oblast gubernatorial election market due to his position as incumbent governor backed by United Russia. He secured party nomination in June 2026 and official registration in August after serving since 2021. Voting runs September 18–20 alongside national legislative contests, with four registered challengers from LDPR, A Just Russia, CPRF, and the Party of Pensioners facing limited visibility and resources. Russian regional gubernatorial races have shown consistent patterns of strong incumbent performance under the ruling party structure. Traders reflect this consensus through elevated pricing, though late developments such as turnout shortfalls, procedural disputes, or unexpected campaign events within the final voting window could still influence the outcome.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Penza Oblast on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Penza Oblast gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Penza Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Penza Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Penza Oblast gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Penza Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Penza Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
交易量
$1,488結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2026, 7:23 PM ETOleg Melnichenko holds a dominant 96.1% implied probability in the Penza Oblast gubernatorial election market due to his position as incumbent governor backed by United Russia. He secured party nomination in June 2026 and official registration in August after serving since 2021. Voting runs September 18–20 alongside national legislative contests, with four registered challengers from LDPR, A Just Russia, CPRF, and the Party of Pensioners facing limited visibility and resources. Russian regional gubernatorial races have shown consistent patterns of strong incumbent performance under the ruling party structure. Traders reflect this consensus through elevated pricing, though late developments such as turnout shortfalls, procedural disputes, or unexpected campaign events within the final voting window could still influence the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions