The heavily Democratic partisan composition of Georgia’s 4th Congressional District, reflected in its D+27 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent large margins for the incumbent, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Hank Johnson secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 79 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Republican James Duffie advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or sharp national turnout shifts could still alter the outcome, though the district’s structural advantages and Johnson’s established record have produced wide historical margins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$48,081 交易量
$48,081 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
96%
共和黨
3%
$48,081 交易量
$48,081 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$29,990 交易量
96%
共和黨
$18,091 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic partisan composition of Georgia’s 4th Congressional District, reflected in its D+27 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent large margins for the incumbent, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Hank Johnson secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 79 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Republican James Duffie advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or sharp national turnout shifts could still alter the outcome, though the district’s structural advantages and Johnson’s established record have produced wide historical margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$48,081結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic partisan composition of Georgia’s 4th Congressional District, reflected in its D+27 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent large margins for the incumbent, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Hank Johnson secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 79 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Republican James Duffie advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or sharp national turnout shifts could still alter the outcome, though the district’s structural advantages and Johnson’s established record have produced wide historical margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$48,081結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETThe heavily Democratic partisan composition of Georgia’s 4th Congressional District, reflected in its D+27 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent large margins for the incumbent, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Hank Johnson secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 79 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Republican James Duffie advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or sharp national turnout shifts could still alter the outcome, though the district’s structural advantages and Johnson’s established record have produced wide historical margins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions