Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote against two challengers, reinforcing the district's status as a reliable Democratic seat centered in Atlanta's southeastern suburbs. Historical results show consistent Democratic margins above 70 percent in recent cycles, reflecting voter composition and limited Republican infrastructure. The Republican nominee, James Duffie, faces structural barriers typical of the seat. Trader consensus reflected in the 95.8 percent Democratic probability aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected turnout shift could still alter the November 2026 general election outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於GA-04 House Election Winner
GA-04 House Election Winner
$38,195 交易量
$38,195 交易量
2026-11-03
Democratic Party
98%
Republican Party
1%
$38,195 交易量
$38,195 交易量
2026-11-03
Democratic Party
$22,361 交易量
98%
Republican Party
$15,834 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote against two challengers, reinforcing the district's status as a reliable Democratic seat centered in Atlanta's southeastern suburbs. Historical results show consistent Democratic margins above 70 percent in recent cycles, reflecting voter composition and limited Republican infrastructure. The Republican nominee, James Duffie, faces structural barriers typical of the seat. Trader consensus reflected in the 95.8 percent Democratic probability aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected turnout shift could still alter the November 2026 general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$38,195結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote against two challengers, reinforcing the district's status as a reliable Democratic seat centered in Atlanta's southeastern suburbs. Historical results show consistent Democratic margins above 70 percent in recent cycles, reflecting voter composition and limited Republican infrastructure. The Republican nominee, James Duffie, faces structural barriers typical of the seat. Trader consensus reflected in the 95.8 percent Democratic probability aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected turnout shift could still alter the November 2026 general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$38,195結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote against two challengers, reinforcing the district's status as a reliable Democratic seat centered in Atlanta's southeastern suburbs. Historical results show consistent Democratic margins above 70 percent in recent cycles, reflecting voter composition and limited Republican infrastructure. The Republican nominee, James Duffie, faces structural barriers typical of the seat. Trader consensus reflected in the 95.8 percent Democratic probability aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected turnout shift could still alter the November 2026 general election outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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