Georgia’s 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+27 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Hank Johnson, seeking an 11th term, enters the May 19 Democratic primary as the clear frontrunner against challengers Ansel Postell and Ben Truman, with race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. The Republican nominee, James Duffie, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic performance has exceeded 70 percent in the last general election. Trader consensus on a Democratic victory aligns with these baseline indicators, though a primary upset or unusually large national partisan swing could theoretically alter the outcome before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$26,083 交易量
$26,083 交易量
民主黨
95%
共和黨
4%
$26,083 交易量
$26,083 交易量
民主黨
95%
共和黨
4%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia’s 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+27 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Hank Johnson, seeking an 11th term, enters the May 19 Democratic primary as the clear frontrunner against challengers Ansel Postell and Ben Truman, with race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. The Republican nominee, James Duffie, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic performance has exceeded 70 percent in the last general election. Trader consensus on a Democratic victory aligns with these baseline indicators, though a primary upset or unusually large national partisan swing could theoretically alter the outcome before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions