Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and KNMI models indicate a peak surface air temperature of 14–15 °C in Amsterdam on May 17, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and moderate westerly flow advecting mild maritime air across the North Sea region. These conditions suppress strong diurnal heating while limiting cloud cover and precipitation, aligning with the market-implied 50 % probability for 14 °C and 24 % for 15 °C. Historical May climatology shows average daily maxima near 16 °C, yet recent model runs have converged on slightly cooler outcomes without notable warm-air advection or blocking patterns that would elevate readings above 16 °C. Updated guidance is expected from the next KNMI briefing cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
5月17日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
14°C 50%
15°C 24%
13°C 20%
16°C 4.3%
最新
最新
2026-05-17
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
20%
14°C
50%
15°C
24%
16°C
4%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 50%
15°C 24%
13°C 20%
16°C 4.3%
最新
最新
2026-05-17
10°C or below
$1,548 交易量
<1%
11°C
$284 交易量
1%
12°C
$473 交易量
2%
13°C
$1,185 交易量
20%
14°C
$783 交易量
50%
15°C
$520 交易量
24%
16°C
$457 交易量
4%
17°C
$749 交易量
1%
18°C
$384 交易量
1%
19°C
$349 交易量
<1%
20°C or higher
$204 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and KNMI models indicate a peak surface air temperature of 14–15 °C in Amsterdam on May 17, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and moderate westerly flow advecting mild maritime air across the North Sea region. These conditions suppress strong diurnal heating while limiting cloud cover and precipitation, aligning with the market-implied 50 % probability for 14 °C and 24 % for 15 °C. Historical May climatology shows average daily maxima near 16 °C, yet recent model runs have converged on slightly cooler outcomes without notable warm-air advection or blocking patterns that would elevate readings above 16 °C. Updated guidance is expected from the next KNMI briefing cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$6,936結束日期
2026-05-17市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and KNMI models indicate a peak surface air temperature of 14–15 °C in Amsterdam on May 17, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and moderate westerly flow advecting mild maritime air across the North Sea region. These conditions suppress strong diurnal heating while limiting cloud cover and precipitation, aligning with the market-implied 50 % probability for 14 °C and 24 % for 15 °C. Historical May climatology shows average daily maxima near 16 °C, yet recent model runs have converged on slightly cooler outcomes without notable warm-air advection or blocking patterns that would elevate readings above 16 °C. Updated guidance is expected from the next KNMI briefing cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$6,936結束日期
2026-05-17市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and KNMI models indicate a peak surface air temperature of 14–15 °C in Amsterdam on May 17, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and moderate westerly flow advecting mild maritime air across the North Sea region. These conditions suppress strong diurnal heating while limiting cloud cover and precipitation, aligning with the market-implied 50 % probability for 14 °C and 24 % for 15 °C. Historical May climatology shows average daily maxima near 16 °C, yet recent model runs have converged on slightly cooler outcomes without notable warm-air advection or blocking patterns that would elevate readings above 16 °C. Updated guidance is expected from the next KNMI briefing cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions