National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance currently favors overnight lows of 76–79°F in Miami on May 20 under typical late-spring subtropical conditions featuring light southeasterly winds, high boundary-layer moisture, and dew points near 73°F that limit radiational cooling. These factors keep temperatures several degrees above the May climatological minimum of 73–74°F, with the market’s closely bunched probabilities across the 76–83°F bins reflecting small but meaningful differences in forecast cloud cover, wind speed, and model spread for the 48-hour window. Updated runs from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, along with any revisions from the Miami International Airport observing site, will determine which narrow temperature bin resolves.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月20日邁阿密的最低溫度?
78-79°F 35%
76-77°F 24%
80-81°F 20%
82-83°F 19%
華氏73度或以下
14%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F或更高
<1%
78-79°F 35%
76-77°F 24%
80-81°F 20%
82-83°F 19%
華氏73度或以下
14%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance currently favors overnight lows of 76–79°F in Miami on May 20 under typical late-spring subtropical conditions featuring light southeasterly winds, high boundary-layer moisture, and dew points near 73°F that limit radiational cooling. These factors keep temperatures several degrees above the May climatological minimum of 73–74°F, with the market’s closely bunched probabilities across the 76–83°F bins reflecting small but meaningful differences in forecast cloud cover, wind speed, and model spread for the 48-hour window. Updated runs from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, along with any revisions from the Miami International Airport observing site, will determine which narrow temperature bin resolves.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions