Recent forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System converge on a daytime maximum near 21–22°C for Milan on May 16, under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This positioning explains the market’s 40.5% implied probability on 21°C and 23.5% on 22°C, as traders weigh modest diurnal heating against scattered shower risk that could cap the peak. Mid-May climatological averages for the Lombardy plain sit around 22°C, providing a baseline that reinforces these outcomes over cooler or warmer extremes. With the resolution window closing this evening, any late-afternoon clearing or additional cloud build-up remains the key variable that could shift final observations from official stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Milan on May 16?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 16?
21°C 40%
20°C 22%
22°C 21%
19°C 15%
最新
$12,518 交易量
最新
$12,518 交易量
2026-05-16
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
15%
20°C
22%
21°C
40%
22°C
21%
23°C
3%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 40%
20°C 22%
22°C 21%
19°C 15%
最新
$12,518 交易量
最新
$12,518 交易量
2026-05-16
15°C or below
$787 交易量
<1%
16°C
$681 交易量
<1%
17°C
$902 交易量
<1%
18°C
$1,125 交易量
1%
19°C
$2,066 交易量
15%
20°C
$1,533 交易量
22%
21°C
$1,330 交易量
40%
22°C
$1,123 交易量
21%
23°C
$1,430 交易量
3%
24°C
$777 交易量
<1%
25°C or higher
$778 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System converge on a daytime maximum near 21–22°C for Milan on May 16, under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This positioning explains the market’s 40.5% implied probability on 21°C and 23.5% on 22°C, as traders weigh modest diurnal heating against scattered shower risk that could cap the peak. Mid-May climatological averages for the Lombardy plain sit around 22°C, providing a baseline that reinforces these outcomes over cooler or warmer extremes. With the resolution window closing this evening, any late-afternoon clearing or additional cloud build-up remains the key variable that could shift final observations from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 14, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
交易量
$12,518結束日期
2026-05-16市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:39 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System converge on a daytime maximum near 21–22°C for Milan on May 16, under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This positioning explains the market’s 40.5% implied probability on 21°C and 23.5% on 22°C, as traders weigh modest diurnal heating against scattered shower risk that could cap the peak. Mid-May climatological averages for the Lombardy plain sit around 22°C, providing a baseline that reinforces these outcomes over cooler or warmer extremes. With the resolution window closing this evening, any late-afternoon clearing or additional cloud build-up remains the key variable that could shift final observations from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$12,518結束日期
2026-05-16市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:39 AM ETRecent forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System converge on a daytime maximum near 21–22°C for Milan on May 16, under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This positioning explains the market’s 40.5% implied probability on 21°C and 23.5% on 22°C, as traders weigh modest diurnal heating against scattered shower risk that could cap the peak. Mid-May climatological averages for the Lombardy plain sit around 22°C, providing a baseline that reinforces these outcomes over cooler or warmer extremes. With the resolution window closing this evening, any late-afternoon clearing or additional cloud build-up remains the key variable that could shift final observations from official stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions