Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 24–26°C for Shanghai's highest temperature on May 16, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting mild highs under partly cloudy skies with southerly sea breezes. Yesterday's May 15 high settled near 24°C amid persistent cloud cover, setting a baseline for similar conditions tomorrow, though AccuWeather eyes 28°C with more sun—traders discount this due to Pudong Airport's coastal exposure tempering urban heat island effects. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud development and sea breeze strength, which could cap peaks at 24–25°C or allow 26°C under clearer skies; new hourly updates expected today will refine model consensus amid typical May variability around 25°C averages.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 16?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 16?
25°C 35%
24°C 27%
26°C 24%
27°C 9%
$28,841 交易量
$28,841 交易量
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
6%
24°C
27%
25°C
35%
26°C
24%
27°C
9%
28°C
4%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 35%
24°C 27%
26°C 24%
27°C 9%
$28,841 交易量
$28,841 交易量
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
6%
24°C
27%
25°C
35%
26°C
24%
27°C
9%
28°C
4%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 24–26°C for Shanghai's highest temperature on May 16, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting mild highs under partly cloudy skies with southerly sea breezes. Yesterday's May 15 high settled near 24°C amid persistent cloud cover, setting a baseline for similar conditions tomorrow, though AccuWeather eyes 28°C with more sun—traders discount this due to Pudong Airport's coastal exposure tempering urban heat island effects. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud development and sea breeze strength, which could cap peaks at 24–25°C or allow 26°C under clearer skies; new hourly updates expected today will refine model consensus amid typical May variability around 25°C averages.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions