Current Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance places Seoul’s May 19 overnight minimum in the 16–18 °C range, aligning with the market’s tightly bunched leading contracts near 17 °C. Clear skies and light winds expected through the period favor strong nocturnal radiative cooling, while modest moisture advection from the Yellow Sea could limit further drops; ensemble spreads remain narrow because the region sits under a stable post-frontal high. Historical May minima at the official station average 12–14 °C, yet recent model runs have trended 2–3 °C warmer amid above-normal sea-surface temperatures. Traders will watch the next 48-hour KMA and ECMWF updates for any shift in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing that could tip resolution toward 16 °C or 18 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月19日首爾最低溫度？
5月19日首爾最低溫度？
16°C 29%
17°C 19%
18°C 19%
15°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-05-19
13°C或以下
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
11%
16°C
21%
17°C
15%
18°C
22%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C或以上
1%
16°C 29%
17°C 19%
18°C 19%
15°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-05-19
13°C或以下
$125 交易量
1%
14°C
$36 交易量
2%
15°C
$12 交易量
11%
16°C
$16 交易量
21%
17°C
$34 交易量
15%
18°C
$13 交易量
22%
19°C
$109 交易量
1%
20°C
$81 交易量
1%
21°C
$65 交易量
1%
22°C
$71 交易量
1%
23°C或以上
$23 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance places Seoul’s May 19 overnight minimum in the 16–18 °C range, aligning with the market’s tightly bunched leading contracts near 17 °C. Clear skies and light winds expected through the period favor strong nocturnal radiative cooling, while modest moisture advection from the Yellow Sea could limit further drops; ensemble spreads remain narrow because the region sits under a stable post-frontal high. Historical May minima at the official station average 12–14 °C, yet recent model runs have trended 2–3 °C warmer amid above-normal sea-surface temperatures. Traders will watch the next 48-hour KMA and ECMWF updates for any shift in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing that could tip resolution toward 16 °C or 18 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$585結束日期
2026-05-19市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance places Seoul’s May 19 overnight minimum in the 16–18 °C range, aligning with the market’s tightly bunched leading contracts near 17 °C. Clear skies and light winds expected through the period favor strong nocturnal radiative cooling, while modest moisture advection from the Yellow Sea could limit further drops; ensemble spreads remain narrow because the region sits under a stable post-frontal high. Historical May minima at the official station average 12–14 °C, yet recent model runs have trended 2–3 °C warmer amid above-normal sea-surface temperatures. Traders will watch the next 48-hour KMA and ECMWF updates for any shift in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing that could tip resolution toward 16 °C or 18 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$585結束日期
2026-05-19市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance places Seoul’s May 19 overnight minimum in the 16–18 °C range, aligning with the market’s tightly bunched leading contracts near 17 °C. Clear skies and light winds expected through the period favor strong nocturnal radiative cooling, while modest moisture advection from the Yellow Sea could limit further drops; ensemble spreads remain narrow because the region sits under a stable post-frontal high. Historical May minima at the official station average 12–14 °C, yet recent model runs have trended 2–3 °C warmer amid above-normal sea-surface temperatures. Traders will watch the next 48-hour KMA and ECMWF updates for any shift in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing that could tip resolution toward 16 °C or 18 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions