Trader consensus heavily favors a maximum temperature of 20°C in Ankara today, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction runs and surface observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service showing stable high-pressure conditions with limited daytime heating. Regional models indicate afternoon peaks near this threshold under mostly clear skies, consistent with May climatology where daily highs average 21–23°C but often settle lower when nocturnal cooling lingers. Minor probabilities attached to 21°C or above reflect the possibility of localized warming if boundary-layer mixing strengthens unexpectedly, while colder outcomes remain negligible given current dew-point and wind fields. Updated model guidance later today could refine this range ahead of official station verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Ankara on May 16?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 16?
20°C 99.8%
21°C <1%
17°C <1%
22°C <1%
$49,881 交易量
$49,881 交易量
2026-05-16
17°C
<1%
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 99.8%
21°C <1%
17°C <1%
22°C <1%
$49,881 交易量
$49,881 交易量
2026-05-16
17°C
$3,412 交易量
<1%
20°C
$6,126 交易量
100%
21°C
$5,846 交易量
<1%
22°C
$6,781 交易量
<1%
23°C
$6,255 交易量
<1%
24°C or higher
$4,119 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus heavily favors a maximum temperature of 20°C in Ankara today, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction runs and surface observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service showing stable high-pressure conditions with limited daytime heating. Regional models indicate afternoon peaks near this threshold under mostly clear skies, consistent with May climatology where daily highs average 21–23°C but often settle lower when nocturnal cooling lingers. Minor probabilities attached to 21°C or above reflect the possibility of localized warming if boundary-layer mixing strengthens unexpectedly, while colder outcomes remain negligible given current dew-point and wind fields. Updated model guidance later today could refine this range ahead of official station verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
交易量
$49,881結束日期
2026-05-16市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET已提議結果: No
爭議期
最終
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus heavily favors a maximum temperature of 20°C in Ankara today, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction runs and surface observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service showing stable high-pressure conditions with limited daytime heating. Regional models indicate afternoon peaks near this threshold under mostly clear skies, consistent with May climatology where daily highs average 21–23°C but often settle lower when nocturnal cooling lingers. Minor probabilities attached to 21°C or above reflect the possibility of localized warming if boundary-layer mixing strengthens unexpectedly, while colder outcomes remain negligible given current dew-point and wind fields. Updated model guidance later today could refine this range ahead of official station verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$49,881結束日期
2026-05-16市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET已提議結果: No
爭議期
最終
Trader consensus heavily favors a maximum temperature of 20°C in Ankara today, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction runs and surface observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service showing stable high-pressure conditions with limited daytime heating. Regional models indicate afternoon peaks near this threshold under mostly clear skies, consistent with May climatology where daily highs average 21–23°C but often settle lower when nocturnal cooling lingers. Minor probabilities attached to 21°C or above reflect the possibility of localized warming if boundary-layer mixing strengthens unexpectedly, while colder outcomes remain negligible given current dew-point and wind fields. Updated model guidance later today could refine this range ahead of official station verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions