Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak temperature of 26°C in Shenzhen on May 16, driven by a developing low-pressure system that is delivering widespread cloud cover, heavy rain, and suppressed solar heating across the Pearl River Delta. This setup aligns with the market-implied 97.5% probability for 26°C, consistent with observed May climatology where such conditions typically cap daytime highs 2–4°C below the 29–31°C seasonal average. Key resolution criteria rest on the official reading at Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport. Clearer skies or delayed rainfall could allow brief warming toward 27°C, though current model consensus shows low likelihood of that shift before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 16?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 16?
26°C 98.6%
27°C 1.2%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$57,615 交易量
$57,615 交易量
2026-05-16
26°C
99%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 98.6%
27°C 1.2%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$57,615 交易量
$57,615 交易量
2026-05-16
26°C
$14,151 交易量
99%
27°C
$6,380 交易量
1%
28°C
$8,992 交易量
<1%
29°C
$5,989 交易量
<1%
30°C or higher
$8,475 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak temperature of 26°C in Shenzhen on May 16, driven by a developing low-pressure system that is delivering widespread cloud cover, heavy rain, and suppressed solar heating across the Pearl River Delta. This setup aligns with the market-implied 97.5% probability for 26°C, consistent with observed May climatology where such conditions typically cap daytime highs 2–4°C below the 29–31°C seasonal average. Key resolution criteria rest on the official reading at Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport. Clearer skies or delayed rainfall could allow brief warming toward 27°C, though current model consensus shows low likelihood of that shift before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$57,615結束日期
2026-05-16市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak temperature of 26°C in Shenzhen on May 16, driven by a developing low-pressure system that is delivering widespread cloud cover, heavy rain, and suppressed solar heating across the Pearl River Delta. This setup aligns with the market-implied 97.5% probability for 26°C, consistent with observed May climatology where such conditions typically cap daytime highs 2–4°C below the 29–31°C seasonal average. Key resolution criteria rest on the official reading at Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport. Clearer skies or delayed rainfall could allow brief warming toward 27°C, though current model consensus shows low likelihood of that shift before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$57,615結束日期
2026-05-16市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ETLatest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak temperature of 26°C in Shenzhen on May 16, driven by a developing low-pressure system that is delivering widespread cloud cover, heavy rain, and suppressed solar heating across the Pearl River Delta. This setup aligns with the market-implied 97.5% probability for 26°C, consistent with observed May climatology where such conditions typically cap daytime highs 2–4°C below the 29–31°C seasonal average. Key resolution criteria rest on the official reading at Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport. Clearer skies or delayed rainfall could allow brief warming toward 27°C, though current model consensus shows low likelihood of that shift before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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