Hong Kong Observatory observations recorded a daily maximum of 25°C on May 16, anchoring the near-certain market consensus on that exact outcome. Persistent widespread cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the early southwest monsoon transition, reinforced by moderate southerly flow and high relative humidity, restricted solar insolation and convective heating across the subtropical region. This synoptic pattern aligned closely with ensemble model guidance showing minimal spread around the 25°C threshold, consistent with mid-May climatological norms where average maxima hover near 29°C but recent trough influences suppressed peaks. A rapid clearing of cloud decks or unexpected wind shift could have allowed brief radiative warming to 26–27°C, yet ongoing observational data indicate such shifts remained unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$297,043 交易量
$297,043 交易量
2026-05-16
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$297,043 交易量
$297,043 交易量
2026-05-16
19°C or below
$19,062 交易量
<1%
20°C
$11,752 交易量
<1%
21°C
$11,992 交易量
<1%
22°C
$6,633 交易量
<1%
23°C
$4,753 交易量
<1%
24°C
$37,070 交易量
<1%
25°C
$75,731 交易量
100%
26°C
$41,599 交易量
<1%
27°C
$39,386 交易量
<1%
28°C
$25,255 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$23,821 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory observations recorded a daily maximum of 25°C on May 16, anchoring the near-certain market consensus on that exact outcome. Persistent widespread cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the early southwest monsoon transition, reinforced by moderate southerly flow and high relative humidity, restricted solar insolation and convective heating across the subtropical region. This synoptic pattern aligned closely with ensemble model guidance showing minimal spread around the 25°C threshold, consistent with mid-May climatological norms where average maxima hover near 29°C but recent trough influences suppressed peaks. A rapid clearing of cloud decks or unexpected wind shift could have allowed brief radiative warming to 26–27°C, yet ongoing observational data indicate such shifts remained unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
交易量
$297,043結束日期
2026-05-16市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory observations recorded a daily maximum of 25°C on May 16, anchoring the near-certain market consensus on that exact outcome. Persistent widespread cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the early southwest monsoon transition, reinforced by moderate southerly flow and high relative humidity, restricted solar insolation and convective heating across the subtropical region. This synoptic pattern aligned closely with ensemble model guidance showing minimal spread around the 25°C threshold, consistent with mid-May climatological norms where average maxima hover near 29°C but recent trough influences suppressed peaks. A rapid clearing of cloud decks or unexpected wind shift could have allowed brief radiative warming to 26–27°C, yet ongoing observational data indicate such shifts remained unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$297,043結束日期
2026-05-16市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory observations recorded a daily maximum of 25°C on May 16, anchoring the near-certain market consensus on that exact outcome. Persistent widespread cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the early southwest monsoon transition, reinforced by moderate southerly flow and high relative humidity, restricted solar insolation and convective heating across the subtropical region. This synoptic pattern aligned closely with ensemble model guidance showing minimal spread around the 25°C threshold, consistent with mid-May climatological norms where average maxima hover near 29°C but recent trough influences suppressed peaks. A rapid clearing of cloud decks or unexpected wind shift could have allowed brief radiative warming to 26–27°C, yet ongoing observational data indicate such shifts remained unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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