Recent Central Weather Administration and global ensemble forecasts for Taipei on May 17 converge on a daytime maximum of 29–30°C, reflecting moderate southerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits peak solar heating during the early Meiyu transition. This positioning keeps 30°C as the slight market leader while 29°C and 31°C remain tightly contested because small shifts in afternoon convection or boundary-layer moisture—common at this latitude and season—can easily move the observed high across those thresholds. Historical mid-May climatology shows typical highs of 28–30°C, with urban heat-island effects in Taipei adding modest upward bias on clearer afternoons. Traders are therefore focused on the next 12–18 hours of model updates and satellite trends for any late adjustments to cloud or wind fields before the daily maximum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日臺北氣溫最高?
30°C 31%
29°C 28%
31°C 25%
28°C 13%
$12,851 交易量
$12,851 交易量
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
13%
29°C
28%
30°C
31%
31°C
25%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 31%
29°C 28%
31°C 25%
28°C 13%
$12,851 交易量
$12,851 交易量
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
13%
29°C
28%
30°C
31%
31°C
25%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent Central Weather Administration and global ensemble forecasts for Taipei on May 17 converge on a daytime maximum of 29–30°C, reflecting moderate southerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits peak solar heating during the early Meiyu transition. This positioning keeps 30°C as the slight market leader while 29°C and 31°C remain tightly contested because small shifts in afternoon convection or boundary-layer moisture—common at this latitude and season—can easily move the observed high across those thresholds. Historical mid-May climatology shows typical highs of 28–30°C, with urban heat-island effects in Taipei adding modest upward bias on clearer afternoons. Traders are therefore focused on the next 12–18 hours of model updates and satellite trends for any late adjustments to cloud or wind fields before the daily maximum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions