PAGASA's latest outlook points to a 34°C maximum air temperature for Metro Manila on May 16 under persistent easterlies and partly cloudy skies, creating the tight contest between the 34°C and 35°C outcomes. Easterly flow typically moderates peaks by enhancing mixing and limiting afternoon heating, yet variable cloud cover or reduced winds could allow brief clear periods that push the official Science Garden reading to 35°C. Historical May baselines hover near 34°C, and small forecast adjustments in humidity or urban heat-island effects often shift the daily high by one degree, explaining why traders assign nearly equal weight to these two thresholds while assigning minimal probability to 36°C or higher.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Manila on May 16?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 16?
34°C 47%
35°C 46%
36°C 3.3%
37°C 1.6%
$31,392 交易量
$31,392 交易量
2026-05-16
33°C
<1%
34°C
48%
35°C
46%
36°C
3%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 47%
35°C 46%
36°C 3.3%
37°C 1.6%
$31,392 交易量
$31,392 交易量
2026-05-16
33°C
$4,835 交易量
<1%
34°C
$1,011 交易量
48%
35°C
$573 交易量
46%
36°C
$2,197 交易量
3%
37°C
$2,309 交易量
2%
38°C
$515 交易量
<1%
39°C or higher
$684 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest outlook points to a 34°C maximum air temperature for Metro Manila on May 16 under persistent easterlies and partly cloudy skies, creating the tight contest between the 34°C and 35°C outcomes. Easterly flow typically moderates peaks by enhancing mixing and limiting afternoon heating, yet variable cloud cover or reduced winds could allow brief clear periods that push the official Science Garden reading to 35°C. Historical May baselines hover near 34°C, and small forecast adjustments in humidity or urban heat-island effects often shift the daily high by one degree, explaining why traders assign nearly equal weight to these two thresholds while assigning minimal probability to 36°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$31,392結束日期
2026-05-16市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest outlook points to a 34°C maximum air temperature for Metro Manila on May 16 under persistent easterlies and partly cloudy skies, creating the tight contest between the 34°C and 35°C outcomes. Easterly flow typically moderates peaks by enhancing mixing and limiting afternoon heating, yet variable cloud cover or reduced winds could allow brief clear periods that push the official Science Garden reading to 35°C. Historical May baselines hover near 34°C, and small forecast adjustments in humidity or urban heat-island effects often shift the daily high by one degree, explaining why traders assign nearly equal weight to these two thresholds while assigning minimal probability to 36°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$31,392結束日期
2026-05-16市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ETPAGASA's latest outlook points to a 34°C maximum air temperature for Metro Manila on May 16 under persistent easterlies and partly cloudy skies, creating the tight contest between the 34°C and 35°C outcomes. Easterly flow typically moderates peaks by enhancing mixing and limiting afternoon heating, yet variable cloud cover or reduced winds could allow brief clear periods that push the official Science Garden reading to 35°C. Historical May baselines hover near 34°C, and small forecast adjustments in humidity or urban heat-island effects often shift the daily high by one degree, explaining why traders assign nearly equal weight to these two thresholds while assigning minimal probability to 36°C or higher.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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