Official measurements from Environment Canada at Toronto Pearson International Airport, the designated resolution station, recorded a daily maximum of 20°C on May 15 under mainly sunny skies and light southerly flow. This outcome aligned closely with seasonal climatological norms near 19–20°C and consensus guidance from the GEM, GFS, and ECMWF models, which projected modest boundary-layer warming without significant advection or cloud cover to suppress peaks. The market’s near-certain pricing at 20°C reflects trader recognition that station-specific data, rather than downtown urban heat-island effects, governs resolution. Only an unreported sensor anomaly or post-analysis revision could alter the result, scenarios with negligible probability given standard verification protocols.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月15日多倫多氣溫最高?
20°C 100.0%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$63,548 交易量
$63,548 交易量
12°C或以下
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C或以上
否
20°C 100.0%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$63,548 交易量
$63,548 交易量
12°C或以下
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official measurements from Environment Canada at Toronto Pearson International Airport, the designated resolution station, recorded a daily maximum of 20°C on May 15 under mainly sunny skies and light southerly flow. This outcome aligned closely with seasonal climatological norms near 19–20°C and consensus guidance from the GEM, GFS, and ECMWF models, which projected modest boundary-layer warming without significant advection or cloud cover to suppress peaks. The market’s near-certain pricing at 20°C reflects trader recognition that station-specific data, rather than downtown urban heat-island effects, governs resolution. Only an unreported sensor anomaly or post-analysis revision could alter the result, scenarios with negligible probability given standard verification protocols.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions