Recent China Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble model runs place Chengdu’s May 16 maximum near 27 °C under partly cloudy skies and light winds typical of the Sichuan Basin. This consensus drives the 58.5 % implied probability on 27 °C while adjacent brackets at 26 °C and 28 °C capture residual spread from overnight lows near 18 °C and modest daytime heating. Mid-May climatology shows average highs of 26–28 °C, so current guidance aligns closely with seasonal norms without strong warm or cool anomalies. Traders weigh potential afternoon convection or lingering moisture that could cap temperatures one degree lower, keeping the distribution tight ahead of official station readings from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 16?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 16?
27°C 66%
26°C 15.3%
28°C 10%
30°C 2.4%
$44,479 交易量
$44,479 交易量
2026-05-16
25°C
<1%
26°C
15%
27°C
66%
28°C
10%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 66%
26°C 15.3%
28°C 10%
30°C 2.4%
$44,479 交易量
$44,479 交易量
2026-05-16
25°C
$7,537 交易量
<1%
26°C
$6,897 交易量
15%
27°C
$4,321 交易量
66%
28°C
$3,478 交易量
10%
29°C
$3,742 交易量
1%
30°C
$3,453 交易量
2%
31°C or higher
$3,981 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent China Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble model runs place Chengdu’s May 16 maximum near 27 °C under partly cloudy skies and light winds typical of the Sichuan Basin. This consensus drives the 58.5 % implied probability on 27 °C while adjacent brackets at 26 °C and 28 °C capture residual spread from overnight lows near 18 °C and modest daytime heating. Mid-May climatology shows average highs of 26–28 °C, so current guidance aligns closely with seasonal norms without strong warm or cool anomalies. Traders weigh potential afternoon convection or lingering moisture that could cap temperatures one degree lower, keeping the distribution tight ahead of official station readings from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 14, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
交易量
$44,479結束日期
2026-05-16市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:42 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent China Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble model runs place Chengdu’s May 16 maximum near 27 °C under partly cloudy skies and light winds typical of the Sichuan Basin. This consensus drives the 58.5 % implied probability on 27 °C while adjacent brackets at 26 °C and 28 °C capture residual spread from overnight lows near 18 °C and modest daytime heating. Mid-May climatology shows average highs of 26–28 °C, so current guidance aligns closely with seasonal norms without strong warm or cool anomalies. Traders weigh potential afternoon convection or lingering moisture that could cap temperatures one degree lower, keeping the distribution tight ahead of official station readings from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$44,479結束日期
2026-05-16市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:42 AM ETRecent China Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble model runs place Chengdu’s May 16 maximum near 27 °C under partly cloudy skies and light winds typical of the Sichuan Basin. This consensus drives the 58.5 % implied probability on 27 °C while adjacent brackets at 26 °C and 28 °C capture residual spread from overnight lows near 18 °C and modest daytime heating. Mid-May climatology shows average highs of 26–28 °C, so current guidance aligns closely with seasonal norms without strong warm or cool anomalies. Traders weigh potential afternoon convection or lingering moisture that could cap temperatures one degree lower, keeping the distribution tight ahead of official station readings from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions