Recent model runs from the UK Met Office and ECMWF indicate that mild southwesterly flow will limit radiational cooling overnight on May 20, keeping London's minimum temperature near 12–13 °C. Persistent cloud cover and moderate winds of 10–15 mph are expected to reduce the usual nocturnal temperature drop below the seasonal climatological average of 8–9 °C. With outcomes clustered tightly between 12 °C and 13 °C, small shifts in forecast timing of any clearing skies or changes in wind direction remain the key variables that could tip the recorded low a degree either way before final verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月20日倫敦的最低溫度?
13°C 34%
12°C 18%
14°C 16%
9°C 8.0%
7°C或以下
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
6%
10°C
5%
11°C
5%
12°C
21%
13°C
26%
14°C
11%
15°C
7%
16°C
6%
17°C或以上
5%
13°C 34%
12°C 18%
14°C 16%
9°C 8.0%
7°C或以下
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
6%
10°C
5%
11°C
5%
12°C
21%
13°C
26%
14°C
11%
15°C
7%
16°C
6%
17°C或以上
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent model runs from the UK Met Office and ECMWF indicate that mild southwesterly flow will limit radiational cooling overnight on May 20, keeping London's minimum temperature near 12–13 °C. Persistent cloud cover and moderate winds of 10–15 mph are expected to reduce the usual nocturnal temperature drop below the seasonal climatological average of 8–9 °C. With outcomes clustered tightly between 12 °C and 13 °C, small shifts in forecast timing of any clearing skies or changes in wind direction remain the key variables that could tip the recorded low a degree either way before final verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions