The market-implied odds show overwhelming trader consensus for a 7°C low in London on May 16, anchored by verified overnight observations from official Met Office stations under clear conditions and light winds that permitted moderate radiational cooling. This aligns with typical May climatology for the region, where minimum temperatures commonly range from 6–10°C based on long-term baseline data. Key supporting factors include the absence of significant cloud cover or frontal systems that would have moderated the drop. Revised station readings or post-event quality checks remain the main variables that could shift the final recorded value, though current evidence from established monitoring networks makes such adjustments improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月16日倫敦的最低溫度?
7°C 100.0%
0°C或以下 <1%
1°C <1%
2°C <1%
$23,798 交易量
$23,798 交易量
0°C或以下
<1%
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
100%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C或以上
<1%
7°C 100.0%
0°C或以下 <1%
1°C <1%
2°C <1%
$23,798 交易量
$23,798 交易量
0°C或以下
<1%
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
100%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The market-implied odds show overwhelming trader consensus for a 7°C low in London on May 16, anchored by verified overnight observations from official Met Office stations under clear conditions and light winds that permitted moderate radiational cooling. This aligns with typical May climatology for the region, where minimum temperatures commonly range from 6–10°C based on long-term baseline data. Key supporting factors include the absence of significant cloud cover or frontal systems that would have moderated the drop. Revised station readings or post-event quality checks remain the main variables that could shift the final recorded value, though current evidence from established monitoring networks makes such adjustments improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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