National Weather Service forecasts and regional model consensus project a daily high of 88–89°F for Miami today under mostly sunny skies, light easterly flow, and typical May humidity levels, anchoring trader consensus at 98.8% implied probability for that bin. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs reach 85–87°F, with minimal chance of significant afternoon convection or frontal passage to suppress temperatures. The slim odds on 90–91°F or higher reflect limited potential for localized heating under clear conditions, while cooler outcomes remain improbable without unexpected cloud cover or stronger onshore flow. New observational data from Miami International Airport later today could still shift resolution if actual readings deviate from guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Miami on May 16?
88-89°F 99.3%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$78,208 交易量
$78,208 交易量
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
99%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 99.3%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$78,208 交易量
$78,208 交易量
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
99%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecasts and regional model consensus project a daily high of 88–89°F for Miami today under mostly sunny skies, light easterly flow, and typical May humidity levels, anchoring trader consensus at 98.8% implied probability for that bin. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs reach 85–87°F, with minimal chance of significant afternoon convection or frontal passage to suppress temperatures. The slim odds on 90–91°F or higher reflect limited potential for localized heating under clear conditions, while cooler outcomes remain improbable without unexpected cloud cover or stronger onshore flow. New observational data from Miami International Airport later today could still shift resolution if actual readings deviate from guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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