Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate Miami's high on May 18 will likely reach the mid-to-upper 80s, driven by a persistent subtropical ridge, warm Atlantic sea-surface temperatures near 80°F, and typical late-spring sea-breeze convection that limits extreme heat. This aligns with historical May averages of 84–86°F and recent regional observations of upper-80s readings under similar humidity and light easterly flow. Probability concentrates on 86–89°F because afternoon thunderstorm development, expected to begin around midday, should cap temperatures short of 90°F. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak as steering winds and moisture influx evolve.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月18日邁阿密的最高溫度?
86-87°F 45%
88-89°F 31%
84-85°F 12%
90-91°F 7%
華氏77度或以下
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
45%
88-89°F
31%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
1%
96°F或以上
<1%
86-87°F 45%
88-89°F 31%
84-85°F 12%
90-91°F 7%
華氏77度或以下
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
45%
88-89°F
31%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
1%
96°F或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate Miami's high on May 18 will likely reach the mid-to-upper 80s, driven by a persistent subtropical ridge, warm Atlantic sea-surface temperatures near 80°F, and typical late-spring sea-breeze convection that limits extreme heat. This aligns with historical May averages of 84–86°F and recent regional observations of upper-80s readings under similar humidity and light easterly flow. Probability concentrates on 86–89°F because afternoon thunderstorm development, expected to begin around midday, should cap temperatures short of 90°F. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak as steering winds and moisture influx evolve.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions