Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport and Brazil’s INMET network recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 16 under typical autumn subsidence and light easterly flow that limited cloud cover and allowed modest daytime warming. This measurement, taken at the standard 2-meter height per World Meteorological Organization protocols, aligns with the market’s near-100% consensus on the 27°C outcome and sits slightly above the city’s mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and CPTEC had projected values near this threshold, with minimal spread once the frontal boundary remained offshore. Only an unanticipated late-day heat burst or station-specific microclimate anomaly could have altered the official reading, scenarios now ruled out by post-event verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月16日聖保羅的最高溫度？
5月16日聖保羅的最高溫度？
27°C 100.0%
28°C <1%
29°C或以上 <1%
$86,909 交易量
$86,909 交易量
2026-05-16
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C或以上
<1%
27°C 100.0%
28°C <1%
29°C或以上 <1%
$86,909 交易量
$86,909 交易量
2026-05-16
27°C
$8,326 交易量
100%
28°C
$8,398 交易量
<1%
29°C或以上
$11,022 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport and Brazil’s INMET network recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 16 under typical autumn subsidence and light easterly flow that limited cloud cover and allowed modest daytime warming. This measurement, taken at the standard 2-meter height per World Meteorological Organization protocols, aligns with the market’s near-100% consensus on the 27°C outcome and sits slightly above the city’s mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and CPTEC had projected values near this threshold, with minimal spread once the frontal boundary remained offshore. Only an unanticipated late-day heat burst or station-specific microclimate anomaly could have altered the official reading, scenarios now ruled out by post-event verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$86,909結束日期
2026-05-16市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport and Brazil’s INMET network recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 16 under typical autumn subsidence and light easterly flow that limited cloud cover and allowed modest daytime warming. This measurement, taken at the standard 2-meter height per World Meteorological Organization protocols, aligns with the market’s near-100% consensus on the 27°C outcome and sits slightly above the city’s mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and CPTEC had projected values near this threshold, with minimal spread once the frontal boundary remained offshore. Only an unanticipated late-day heat burst or station-specific microclimate anomaly could have altered the official reading, scenarios now ruled out by post-event verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$86,909結束日期
2026-05-16市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport and Brazil’s INMET network recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 16 under typical autumn subsidence and light easterly flow that limited cloud cover and allowed modest daytime warming. This measurement, taken at the standard 2-meter height per World Meteorological Organization protocols, aligns with the market’s near-100% consensus on the 27°C outcome and sits slightly above the city’s mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and CPTEC had projected values near this threshold, with minimal spread once the frontal boundary remained offshore. Only an unanticipated late-day heat burst or station-specific microclimate anomaly could have altered the official reading, scenarios now ruled out by post-event verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions