Singapore’s Meteorological Service forecasts a daily maximum near 32 °C on May 17 under inter-monsoon conditions with light, variable winds and scattered afternoon thundery showers. These convective systems develop rapidly over the island, curtailing peak solar heating and creating narrow uncertainty bands around the 31–32 °C threshold. Model consensus supports this range, yet small timing shifts in shower onset or cloud cover can easily tip the recorded high by one degree. Historical May climatology shows similar daily maxima, reinforcing the tight split in trader-implied probabilities between 31 °C and 32 °C while leaving only modest room for 33 °C or higher if skies clear earlier than projected.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於新加坡5月17日的最高溫度?
31°C 35%
32°C 35%
30°C 13%
33°C or higher 11%
$30,911 交易量
$30,911 交易量
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
13%
31°C
35%
32°C
35%
33°C or higher
11%
31°C 35%
32°C 35%
30°C 13%
33°C or higher 11%
$30,911 交易量
$30,911 交易量
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
13%
31°C
35%
32°C
35%
33°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Singapore’s Meteorological Service forecasts a daily maximum near 32 °C on May 17 under inter-monsoon conditions with light, variable winds and scattered afternoon thundery showers. These convective systems develop rapidly over the island, curtailing peak solar heating and creating narrow uncertainty bands around the 31–32 °C threshold. Model consensus supports this range, yet small timing shifts in shower onset or cloud cover can easily tip the recorded high by one degree. Historical May climatology shows similar daily maxima, reinforcing the tight split in trader-implied probabilities between 31 °C and 32 °C while leaving only modest room for 33 °C or higher if skies clear earlier than projected.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions