Recent inter-monsoon conditions across Singapore, characterized by light and variable winds, are positioning 32°C as the leading outcome for the daily maximum on May 18, with traders assigning it a 37% implied probability. Afternoon thundery showers, typical of this period, introduce uncertainty through cloud cover and localized cooling, yet model runs indicate sufficient solar heating during clearer intervals to reach 31–33°C. Historical May climatology from the Meteorological Service Singapore shows average highs of 31–32°C, consistent with the market’s concentration in that narrow band. Updated forecasts for the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as resolution draws near, with official observations determining exact thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於新加坡5月18日的最高溫度?
32°C 37%
33°C 24%
31°C 22%
34°C or higher 9%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
22%
32°C
37%
33°C
24%
34°C or higher
9%
32°C 37%
33°C 24%
31°C 22%
34°C or higher 9%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
22%
32°C
37%
33°C
24%
34°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent inter-monsoon conditions across Singapore, characterized by light and variable winds, are positioning 32°C as the leading outcome for the daily maximum on May 18, with traders assigning it a 37% implied probability. Afternoon thundery showers, typical of this period, introduce uncertainty through cloud cover and localized cooling, yet model runs indicate sufficient solar heating during clearer intervals to reach 31–33°C. Historical May climatology from the Meteorological Service Singapore shows average highs of 31–32°C, consistent with the market’s concentration in that narrow band. Updated forecasts for the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as resolution draws near, with official observations determining exact thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions