Latest forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional point to a daytime maximum of 14–15 °C in Buenos Aires on May 16, driven by a post-frontal southerly flow that advects cooler maritime air and restricts insolation under partly cloudy skies. This places the expected high 3–4 °C below the May climatological average of 18 °C recorded at official stations such as Ezeiza and Aeroparque. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF shows tight clustering in the 13–16 °C range, with limited afternoon mixing and moderate winds preventing stronger surface heating. Resolution hinges on the single highest official observation, so any late-day clearing or urban-heat-island enhancement at central sites could nudge the peak toward 16 °C, while persistent cloud cover would favor the lower side of the range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月16日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
15°C 38%
16°C 28%
14°C 22%
13°C 8.3%
$13,854 交易量
$13,854 交易量
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
8%
14°C
22%
15°C
38%
16°C
28%
17°C
4%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C或以上
<1%
15°C 38%
16°C 28%
14°C 22%
13°C 8.3%
$13,854 交易量
$13,854 交易量
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
8%
14°C
22%
15°C
38%
16°C
28%
17°C
4%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional point to a daytime maximum of 14–15 °C in Buenos Aires on May 16, driven by a post-frontal southerly flow that advects cooler maritime air and restricts insolation under partly cloudy skies. This places the expected high 3–4 °C below the May climatological average of 18 °C recorded at official stations such as Ezeiza and Aeroparque. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF shows tight clustering in the 13–16 °C range, with limited afternoon mixing and moderate winds preventing stronger surface heating. Resolution hinges on the single highest official observation, so any late-day clearing or urban-heat-island enhancement at central sites could nudge the peak toward 16 °C, while persistent cloud cover would favor the lower side of the range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions