Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast ensembles for Milan's highest temperature on May 15, with 15°C leading at 26.5% amid implied odds clustered around 14–16°C. Latest ECMWF and GFS model runs project daytime highs near 15°C under persistent cloudy conditions and scattered showers from an Atlantic low-pressure system influencing northern Italy, following a recent cold front that brought hail, strong winds, and below-seasonal temperatures over the past week—far cooler than May's typical 22°C average. Ensemble spreads highlight variability in cloud cover and precipitation timing, potentially shifting the peak by 1–2°C; new model updates expected within 24 hours could refine this, alongside ARPA Lombardia observations at resolution stations like Milan Linate Airport.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Milan on May 15?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 15?
15°C 28%
14°C 25%
16°C 23%
13°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-05-15
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
13%
14°C
25%
15°C
28%
16°C
23%
17°C
12%
18°C
6%
19°C or higher
2%
15°C 28%
14°C 25%
16°C 23%
13°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-05-15
9°C or below
$780 交易量
<1%
10°C
$1,509 交易量
1%
11°C
$1,153 交易量
1%
12°C
$992 交易量
2%
13°C
$474 交易量
13%
14°C
$800 交易量
25%
15°C
$555 交易量
28%
16°C
$480 交易量
23%
17°C
$536 交易量
12%
18°C
$1,150 交易量
6%
19°C or higher
$951 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast ensembles for Milan's highest temperature on May 15, with 15°C leading at 26.5% amid implied odds clustered around 14–16°C. Latest ECMWF and GFS model runs project daytime highs near 15°C under persistent cloudy conditions and scattered showers from an Atlantic low-pressure system influencing northern Italy, following a recent cold front that brought hail, strong winds, and below-seasonal temperatures over the past week—far cooler than May's typical 22°C average. Ensemble spreads highlight variability in cloud cover and precipitation timing, potentially shifting the peak by 1–2°C; new model updates expected within 24 hours could refine this, alongside ARPA Lombardia observations at resolution stations like Milan Linate Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$9,378結束日期
2026-05-15市場開放時間
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast ensembles for Milan's highest temperature on May 15, with 15°C leading at 26.5% amid implied odds clustered around 14–16°C. Latest ECMWF and GFS model runs project daytime highs near 15°C under persistent cloudy conditions and scattered showers from an Atlantic low-pressure system influencing northern Italy, following a recent cold front that brought hail, strong winds, and below-seasonal temperatures over the past week—far cooler than May's typical 22°C average. Ensemble spreads highlight variability in cloud cover and precipitation timing, potentially shifting the peak by 1–2°C; new model updates expected within 24 hours could refine this, alongside ARPA Lombardia observations at resolution stations like Milan Linate Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$9,378結束日期
2026-05-15市場開放時間
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast ensembles for Milan's highest temperature on May 15, with 15°C leading at 26.5% amid implied odds clustered around 14–16°C. Latest ECMWF and GFS model runs project daytime highs near 15°C under persistent cloudy conditions and scattered showers from an Atlantic low-pressure system influencing northern Italy, following a recent cold front that brought hail, strong winds, and below-seasonal temperatures over the past week—far cooler than May's typical 22°C average. Ensemble spreads highlight variability in cloud cover and precipitation timing, potentially shifting the peak by 1–2°C; new model updates expected within 24 hours could refine this, alongside ARPA Lombardia observations at resolution stations like Milan Linate Airport.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions