Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Kuala Lumpur's equatorial climate, where May average highs hover around 33°C but recent heavy thunderstorms since May 11—driven by moist southwest monsoon flows—have clouded model consensus for May 15. Malaysian Meteorological Department forecasts isolated thunderstorms with daytime highs implied at 31-32°C per global models like ECMWF and GFS, slightly favoring 31-33°C outcomes at 52% amid potential afternoon cloud cover suppressing peaks below historical norms. Ongoing ENSO-neutral conditions transitioning toward El Niño add subtle warming pressure, yet convective variability creates the 45-55% spread; watch MetMalaysia's evening updates for refined guidance on peak timing and intensity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on May 15?
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on May 15?
32°C 31%
31°C 24%
33°C 19%
34°C or higher 11%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
24%
32°C
31%
33°C
19%
34°C or higher
11%
32°C 31%
31°C 24%
33°C 19%
34°C or higher 11%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
24%
32°C
31%
33°C
19%
34°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 13, 2026, 1:09 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Kuala Lumpur's equatorial climate, where May average highs hover around 33°C but recent heavy thunderstorms since May 11—driven by moist southwest monsoon flows—have clouded model consensus for May 15. Malaysian Meteorological Department forecasts isolated thunderstorms with daytime highs implied at 31-32°C per global models like ECMWF and GFS, slightly favoring 31-33°C outcomes at 52% amid potential afternoon cloud cover suppressing peaks below historical norms. Ongoing ENSO-neutral conditions transitioning toward El Niño add subtle warming pressure, yet convective variability creates the 45-55% spread; watch MetMalaysia's evening updates for refined guidance on peak timing and intensity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions