Official Met Office observations confirm the highest temperature in London on May 13 reached exactly 13°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% market-implied probability for this outcome as aggregated sentiment backed by real capital. This positioning stems from precise, synchronized air temperature measurements—taken via standardized, calibrated thermometers at 1.25–2 meters above ground—at key sites including Heathrow Airport and St James's Park, adhering to World Meteorological Organization protocols. Amid below-average conditions for mid-May (historical highs around 16–18°C), no station exceeded this mark during the 24-hour period. Realistic challenges are minimal but could involve post hoc quality control revisions uncovering sensor discrepancies or debates over the defining London reference site, though such shifts are rare after initial daily summaries.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in London on May 13?
13°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$245,134 交易量
$245,134 交易量
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
否
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$245,134 交易量
$245,134 交易量
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
否
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 11, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official Met Office observations confirm the highest temperature in London on May 13 reached exactly 13°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% market-implied probability for this outcome as aggregated sentiment backed by real capital. This positioning stems from precise, synchronized air temperature measurements—taken via standardized, calibrated thermometers at 1.25–2 meters above ground—at key sites including Heathrow Airport and St James's Park, adhering to World Meteorological Organization protocols. Amid below-average conditions for mid-May (historical highs around 16–18°C), no station exceeded this mark during the 24-hour period. Realistic challenges are minimal but could involve post hoc quality control revisions uncovering sensor discrepancies or debates over the defining London reference site, though such shifts are rare after initial daily summaries.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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