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icon for 5月17日倫敦的最高溫度？

5月17日倫敦的最高溫度？

icon for 5月17日倫敦的最高溫度？

5月17日倫敦的最高溫度？

5月 16

5月 17

5月 18

5月 16

5月 17

5月 18

16°C 37%

15°C 29%

17°C 18%

14°C 13%

Polymarket
最新

16°C 37%

15°C 29%

17°C 18%

14°C 13%

Polymarket
最新

10°C or below

$697 交易量

<1%

11°C

$548 交易量

<1%

12°C

$721 交易量

<1%

13°C

$817 交易量

1%

14°C

$860 交易量

13%

15°C

$761 交易量

29%

16°C

$781 交易量

37%

17°C

$1,263 交易量

18%

18°C

$782 交易量

6%

19°C

$1,061 交易量

1%

20°C or higher

$606 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office guidance currently projects a maximum of 17°C for London on May 17, with an Atlantic front bringing increasing cloud cover and scattered light showers that could limit afternoon solar heating and cap the high at 16°C or 15°C. Mid-May climatology at Heathrow centers on 16–17°C, placing the observed outcome squarely within the narrow range where small variations in frontal timing or insolation directly determine the daily peak. Ensemble models show modest spread around this central forecast, leaving traders balancing the 16°C and 15°C contracts most heavily while assigning lower probability to warmer or cooler outliers. Fresh 06Z and 12Z runs on Saturday will refine the exact cloud-shield extent and any last-minute adjustments ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$8,898
結束日期
2026-05-17
市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET

結算來源

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office guidance currently projects a maximum of 17°C for London on May 17, with an Atlantic front bringing increasing cloud cover and scattered light showers that could limit afternoon solar heating and cap the high at 16°C or 15°C. Mid-May climatology at Heathrow centers on 16–17°C, placing the observed outcome squarely within the narrow range where small variations in frontal timing or insolation directly determine the daily peak. Ensemble models show modest spread around this central forecast, leaving traders balancing the 16°C and 15°C contracts most heavily while assigning lower probability to warmer or cooler outliers. Fresh 06Z and 12Z runs on Saturday will refine the exact cloud-shield extent and any last-minute adjustments ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$8,898
結束日期
2026-05-17
市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET

結算來源

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"5月17日倫敦的最高溫度？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "16°C" at 37%, followed by "15°C" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"5月17日倫敦的最高溫度？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 15, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "5月17日倫敦的最高溫度？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "5月17日倫敦的最高溫度？" is "16°C" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "15°C" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "5月17日倫敦的最高溫度？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.