Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a NYC high temperature of 66-69°F today, with 66-67°F edging out at 44.5% amid National Weather Service guidance projecting peaks in the mid-to-upper 60s under post-frontal conditions. A recent cold front ushered northwest winds at 10-15 mph and variable cloud cover, capping diurnal heating below the May 15 climatological normal of 71°F after yesterday's observed high near 62°F with showers. Model ensembles like the GFS and ECMWF show slight divergence on afternoon clearing—more sun could push toward 68-69°F via enhanced insolation, while persistent stratus favors 66-67°F—highlighting uncertainty in boundary layer mixing. Observations from Central Park (KNYC) will resolve by midnight; monitor hourly updates for shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in NYC on May 15?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 15?
66-67°F 57%
68-69°F 31%
70-71°F 6.7%
64-65°F 5%
$48,502 交易量
$48,502 交易量
2026-05-15
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
57%
68-69°F
31%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
<1%
66-67°F 57%
68-69°F 31%
70-71°F 6.7%
64-65°F 5%
$48,502 交易量
$48,502 交易量
2026-05-15
55°F or below
$3,087 交易量
<1%
56-57°F
$2,998 交易量
<1%
58-59°F
$3,348 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$3,758 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$5,972 交易量
1%
64-65°F
$5,617 交易量
5%
66-67°F
$5,911 交易量
57%
68-69°F
$3,694 交易量
31%
70-71°F
$4,267 交易量
7%
72-73°F
$3,297 交易量
1%
74°F or higher
$6,953 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a NYC high temperature of 66-69°F today, with 66-67°F edging out at 44.5% amid National Weather Service guidance projecting peaks in the mid-to-upper 60s under post-frontal conditions. A recent cold front ushered northwest winds at 10-15 mph and variable cloud cover, capping diurnal heating below the May 15 climatological normal of 71°F after yesterday's observed high near 62°F with showers. Model ensembles like the GFS and ECMWF show slight divergence on afternoon clearing—more sun could push toward 68-69°F via enhanced insolation, while persistent stratus favors 66-67°F—highlighting uncertainty in boundary layer mixing. Observations from Central Park (KNYC) will resolve by midnight; monitor hourly updates for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$48,502結束日期
2026-05-15市場開放時間
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a NYC high temperature of 66-69°F today, with 66-67°F edging out at 44.5% amid National Weather Service guidance projecting peaks in the mid-to-upper 60s under post-frontal conditions. A recent cold front ushered northwest winds at 10-15 mph and variable cloud cover, capping diurnal heating below the May 15 climatological normal of 71°F after yesterday's observed high near 62°F with showers. Model ensembles like the GFS and ECMWF show slight divergence on afternoon clearing—more sun could push toward 68-69°F via enhanced insolation, while persistent stratus favors 66-67°F—highlighting uncertainty in boundary layer mixing. Observations from Central Park (KNYC) will resolve by midnight; monitor hourly updates for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$48,502結束日期
2026-05-15市場開放時間
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a NYC high temperature of 66-69°F today, with 66-67°F edging out at 44.5% amid National Weather Service guidance projecting peaks in the mid-to-upper 60s under post-frontal conditions. A recent cold front ushered northwest winds at 10-15 mph and variable cloud cover, capping diurnal heating below the May 15 climatological normal of 71°F after yesterday's observed high near 62°F with showers. Model ensembles like the GFS and ECMWF show slight divergence on afternoon clearing—more sun could push toward 68-69°F via enhanced insolation, while persistent stratus favors 66-67°F—highlighting uncertainty in boundary layer mixing. Observations from Central Park (KNYC) will resolve by midnight; monitor hourly updates for shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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