Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 68-69°F (36.5% implied probability) for Los Angeles on May 17, driven by persistent May Gray conditions as detailed in the latest National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard Area Forecast Discussion. A deep marine layer—stratocumulus clouds trapped beneath a temperature inversion at around 3,000 feet—fueled by cool Pacific coastal waters and light onshore flow, has capped recent highs near 63-65°F over the past week, with no signs of weakening through the weekend. NWS guidance and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs project limited daytime clearing in the LA Basin, keeping urban coastal highs in the upper 60s amid typical May climatology (historical average ~69°F at LAX). New forecast updates expected Saturday could refine probabilities based on observed layer depth and solar insolation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於洛杉磯5月17日的最高溫度?
洛杉磯5月17日的最高溫度?
68-69°F 37%
70-71°F 23%
66-67°F 22%
64-65°F 5.8%
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
22%
68-69°F
37%
70-71°F
23%
72-73°F
4%
74°F or higher
2%
68-69°F 37%
70-71°F 23%
66-67°F 22%
64-65°F 5.8%
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
22%
68-69°F
37%
70-71°F
23%
72-73°F
4%
74°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 68-69°F (36.5% implied probability) for Los Angeles on May 17, driven by persistent May Gray conditions as detailed in the latest National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard Area Forecast Discussion. A deep marine layer—stratocumulus clouds trapped beneath a temperature inversion at around 3,000 feet—fueled by cool Pacific coastal waters and light onshore flow, has capped recent highs near 63-65°F over the past week, with no signs of weakening through the weekend. NWS guidance and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs project limited daytime clearing in the LA Basin, keeping urban coastal highs in the upper 60s amid typical May climatology (historical average ~69°F at LAX). New forecast updates expected Saturday could refine probabilities based on observed layer depth and solar insolation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions