Latest numerical weather prediction models, including those aggregated by AccuWeather, project Cape Town's highest temperature on May 17 at around 24°C under a building high-pressure ridge, driving trader consensus to 50% implied probability for 24°C or higher and 35.5% for exactly 23°C. This follows the clearance of a disruptive cold front on May 11-12 that brought heavy rainfall, gale-force winds, and cooler conditions (e.g., 19°C peak on May 9), with post-frontal subsidence and sunny skies now enabling above-normal autumn highs versus the 20°C climatological average. South African Weather Service guidance supports fine, warm conditions, though sea breezes or residual low cloud could cap peaks; watch for afternoon SAWS updates refining short-range forecasts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於開普敦5月17日最高溫度?
開普敦5月17日最高溫度?
20°C 36%
21°C 32%
19°C 24%
22°C 10%
14°C或以下
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
6%
19°C
24%
20°C
36%
21°C
32%
22°C
10%
23°C
6%
24°C或以上
2%
20°C 36%
21°C 32%
19°C 24%
22°C 10%
14°C或以下
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
6%
19°C
24%
20°C
36%
21°C
32%
22°C
10%
23°C
6%
24°C或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest numerical weather prediction models, including those aggregated by AccuWeather, project Cape Town's highest temperature on May 17 at around 24°C under a building high-pressure ridge, driving trader consensus to 50% implied probability for 24°C or higher and 35.5% for exactly 23°C. This follows the clearance of a disruptive cold front on May 11-12 that brought heavy rainfall, gale-force winds, and cooler conditions (e.g., 19°C peak on May 9), with post-frontal subsidence and sunny skies now enabling above-normal autumn highs versus the 20°C climatological average. South African Weather Service guidance supports fine, warm conditions, though sea breezes or residual low cloud could cap peaks; watch for afternoon SAWS updates refining short-range forecasts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions