Latest forecasts from the South African Weather Service place Cape Town’s daily maximum at 22°C on May 16 under a stable high-pressure ridge, light southeast winds, and minimal cloud cover that favors moderate daytime heating at Cape Town International Airport. These conditions align with current model consensus and sit slightly above the month’s long-term average high near 19–20°C, producing the market’s overwhelming 99.9 % implied probability on the 22°C outcome. Final resolution depends on verified observations recorded through the day; any unexpected increase in cloudiness or stronger on-shore flow could cap temperatures at 21°C, while clearer skies and reduced wind would be needed to reach 23°C or higher.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 16?
22°C 99.8%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$37,116 交易量
$37,116 交易量
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 99.8%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$37,116 交易量
$37,116 交易量
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 14, 2026, 12:45 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest forecasts from the South African Weather Service place Cape Town’s daily maximum at 22°C on May 16 under a stable high-pressure ridge, light southeast winds, and minimal cloud cover that favors moderate daytime heating at Cape Town International Airport. These conditions align with current model consensus and sit slightly above the month’s long-term average high near 19–20°C, producing the market’s overwhelming 99.9 % implied probability on the 22°C outcome. Final resolution depends on verified observations recorded through the day; any unexpected increase in cloudiness or stronger on-shore flow could cap temperatures at 21°C, while clearer skies and reduced wind would be needed to reach 23°C or higher.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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