Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private guidance place Miami’s overnight low on May 19 in the upper 70s, with the 78-79°F band holding the highest market share at 27 percent. Warm Atlantic sea-surface temperatures limit radiational cooling, while a southerly flow and moderate moisture keep minimum temperatures from dropping into the lower 70s that climatology suggests for mid-May. Traders weigh these persistent boundary-layer conditions against possible brief clear-sky windows that could allow an extra degree or two of cooling, splitting volume across the 73°F-or-below and 76-77°F bins. Resolution will hinge on the official Miami International Airport ASOS reading at midnight local time, with any shift in steering flow or cloud cover likely to move probabilities in the final 48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月19日邁阿密的最低溫度?
78-79°F 22%
華氏73度或以下 20.6%
80-81°F 20.0%
76-77°F 13%
華氏73度或以下
21%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F或以上
<1%
78-79°F 22%
華氏73度或以下 20.6%
80-81°F 20.0%
76-77°F 13%
華氏73度或以下
21%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private guidance place Miami’s overnight low on May 19 in the upper 70s, with the 78-79°F band holding the highest market share at 27 percent. Warm Atlantic sea-surface temperatures limit radiational cooling, while a southerly flow and moderate moisture keep minimum temperatures from dropping into the lower 70s that climatology suggests for mid-May. Traders weigh these persistent boundary-layer conditions against possible brief clear-sky windows that could allow an extra degree or two of cooling, splitting volume across the 73°F-or-below and 76-77°F bins. Resolution will hinge on the official Miami International Airport ASOS reading at midnight local time, with any shift in steering flow or cloud cover likely to move probabilities in the final 48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions