The dominant market consensus for a 74-75°F overnight low in Miami on May 16 arises from National Weather Service model runs projecting stable subtropical conditions, including a moist boundary layer and light southeast winds that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where Miami’s average lows cluster near 74°F absent cold fronts or dry-air intrusions. Recent observations confirm no synoptic shifts that would drop temperatures further, keeping the 73°F-or-below outcome at minimal implied probability. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted frontal passage or clearer skies enhancing overnight cooling below the modeled range, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such developments before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月16日邁阿密的最低溫度?
74-75°F 99.7%
華氏73度或以下 <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$20,443 交易量
$20,443 交易量
華氏73度或以下
<1%
74-75°F
100%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F或更高
<1%
74-75°F 99.7%
華氏73度或以下 <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$20,443 交易量
$20,443 交易量
華氏73度或以下
<1%
74-75°F
100%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The dominant market consensus for a 74-75°F overnight low in Miami on May 16 arises from National Weather Service model runs projecting stable subtropical conditions, including a moist boundary layer and light southeast winds that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where Miami’s average lows cluster near 74°F absent cold fronts or dry-air intrusions. Recent observations confirm no synoptic shifts that would drop temperatures further, keeping the 73°F-or-below outcome at minimal implied probability. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted frontal passage or clearer skies enhancing overnight cooling below the modeled range, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such developments before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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