Recent forecast guidance from the UK Met Office and European models points to mild spring conditions over London through mid-May, with expected overnight lows in the 10–12°C range driven by moderate southwesterly flow and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This positioning explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 11°C and 12°C, while the spread to 9°C and 13°C reflects lingering model differences in cloud cover and wind strength that can shift minimum temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical May climatology shows average overnight lows near 8–9°C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal, though final resolution will hinge on the precise timing of any showers and the strength of the surface high overnight on the 18th–19th.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月19日倫敦的最低溫度？
5月19日倫敦的最低溫度？
11°C 28%
12°C 22%
10°C 17%
13°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-05-19
5°C或以下
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
3%
9°C
17%
10°C
11%
11°C
24%
12°C
22%
13°C
12%
14°C
10%
15°C或以上
1%
11°C 28%
12°C 22%
10°C 17%
13°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-05-19
5°C或以下
$10 交易量
1%
6°C
$102 交易量
1%
7°C
$63 交易量
1%
8°C
$25 交易量
3%
9°C
$70 交易量
17%
10°C
$14 交易量
11%
11°C
$4 交易量
24%
12°C
$5 交易量
22%
13°C
$0 交易量
12%
14°C
$25 交易量
10%
15°C或以上
$28 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from the UK Met Office and European models points to mild spring conditions over London through mid-May, with expected overnight lows in the 10–12°C range driven by moderate southwesterly flow and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This positioning explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 11°C and 12°C, while the spread to 9°C and 13°C reflects lingering model differences in cloud cover and wind strength that can shift minimum temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical May climatology shows average overnight lows near 8–9°C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal, though final resolution will hinge on the precise timing of any showers and the strength of the surface high overnight on the 18th–19th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$346結束日期
2026-05-19市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from the UK Met Office and European models points to mild spring conditions over London through mid-May, with expected overnight lows in the 10–12°C range driven by moderate southwesterly flow and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This positioning explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 11°C and 12°C, while the spread to 9°C and 13°C reflects lingering model differences in cloud cover and wind strength that can shift minimum temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical May climatology shows average overnight lows near 8–9°C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal, though final resolution will hinge on the precise timing of any showers and the strength of the surface high overnight on the 18th–19th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$346結束日期
2026-05-19市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from the UK Met Office and European models points to mild spring conditions over London through mid-May, with expected overnight lows in the 10–12°C range driven by moderate southwesterly flow and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This positioning explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 11°C and 12°C, while the spread to 9°C and 13°C reflects lingering model differences in cloud cover and wind strength that can shift minimum temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical May climatology shows average overnight lows near 8–9°C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal, though final resolution will hinge on the precise timing of any showers and the strength of the surface high overnight on the 18th–19th.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions