Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance points to sustained pre-monsoon continental heating and upper-level subsidence over Sindh, driving daytime highs in Karachi toward 35–36°C on May 19 amid strong solar insolation and limited cloud cover. Coastal sea-breeze advection from the Arabian Sea, combined with 40–70% daytime humidity, introduces 1–2°C variability across ensemble models and keeps the distribution tightly clustered around these values. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 34–35°C, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probability to 35°C while still pricing meaningful chance for 34°C or 36°C. Updated model runs and any shifts in sea-breeze timing remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月19日卡拉奇的最高溫度？
5月19日卡拉奇的最高溫度？
35°C 32%
36°C 27%
34°C 16%
37°C或更高 16%
最新
最新
2026-05-19
27°C或以下
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
4%
34°C
16%
35°C
32%
36°C
27%
37°C或更高
16%
35°C 32%
36°C 27%
34°C 16%
37°C或更高 16%
最新
最新
2026-05-19
27°C或以下
$18 交易量
1%
28°C
$268 交易量
1%
29°C
$35 交易量
1%
30°C
$25 交易量
1%
31°C
$25 交易量
1%
32°C
$0 交易量
5%
33°C
$24 交易量
4%
34°C
$0 交易量
16%
35°C
$5 交易量
32%
36°C
$0 交易量
27%
37°C或更高
$3 交易量
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance points to sustained pre-monsoon continental heating and upper-level subsidence over Sindh, driving daytime highs in Karachi toward 35–36°C on May 19 amid strong solar insolation and limited cloud cover. Coastal sea-breeze advection from the Arabian Sea, combined with 40–70% daytime humidity, introduces 1–2°C variability across ensemble models and keeps the distribution tightly clustered around these values. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 34–35°C, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probability to 35°C while still pricing meaningful chance for 34°C or 36°C. Updated model runs and any shifts in sea-breeze timing remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$405結束日期
2026-05-19市場開放時間
May 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance points to sustained pre-monsoon continental heating and upper-level subsidence over Sindh, driving daytime highs in Karachi toward 35–36°C on May 19 amid strong solar insolation and limited cloud cover. Coastal sea-breeze advection from the Arabian Sea, combined with 40–70% daytime humidity, introduces 1–2°C variability across ensemble models and keeps the distribution tightly clustered around these values. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 34–35°C, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probability to 35°C while still pricing meaningful chance for 34°C or 36°C. Updated model runs and any shifts in sea-breeze timing remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$405結束日期
2026-05-19市場開放時間
May 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETPakistan Meteorological Department guidance points to sustained pre-monsoon continental heating and upper-level subsidence over Sindh, driving daytime highs in Karachi toward 35–36°C on May 19 amid strong solar insolation and limited cloud cover. Coastal sea-breeze advection from the Arabian Sea, combined with 40–70% daytime humidity, introduces 1–2°C variability across ensemble models and keeps the distribution tightly clustered around these values. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 34–35°C, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probability to 35°C while still pricing meaningful chance for 34°C or 36°C. Updated model runs and any shifts in sea-breeze timing remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions