Trader sentiment for Karachi's peak temperature on May 17 shows tight clustering around 36–37°C because ensemble forecast models project daytime highs near 36.5°C under typical pre-monsoon conditions. High humidity, urban heat island effects, and peak solar insolation drive the modest edge for the 37°C-or-higher outcome at 40.5%. Differentiation among leading bins hinges on the exact timing of maximum heating versus afternoon sea-breeze onset, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Updated runs from the Pakistan Meteorological Department, incorporating the latest surface observations, will narrow model spread and directly influence near-term probability adjustments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日卡拉奇的最高溫度?
37°C或以上 40%
36°C 35%
35°C 24%
34°C 7.5%
$13,402 交易量
$13,402 交易量
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
8%
35°C
24%
36°C
35%
37°C或以上
40%
37°C或以上 40%
36°C 35%
35°C 24%
34°C 7.5%
$13,402 交易量
$13,402 交易量
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
8%
35°C
24%
36°C
35%
37°C或以上
40%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader sentiment for Karachi's peak temperature on May 17 shows tight clustering around 36–37°C because ensemble forecast models project daytime highs near 36.5°C under typical pre-monsoon conditions. High humidity, urban heat island effects, and peak solar insolation drive the modest edge for the 37°C-or-higher outcome at 40.5%. Differentiation among leading bins hinges on the exact timing of maximum heating versus afternoon sea-breeze onset, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Updated runs from the Pakistan Meteorological Department, incorporating the latest surface observations, will narrow model spread and directly influence near-term probability adjustments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions