Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the Pakistan Meteorological Department's (PMD) latest forecast, issued May 14, projecting a maximum temperature of 34–36°C in Karachi on May 16 amid continued hot, humid conditions with west/southwesterly winds and morning humidity of 65–75%. This narrow range fuels the tight competition between 36°C (35.5% implied probability) and 35°C (30.5%), as subtle factors like sea breeze timing, urban heat island effects, and potential isolated coastal clouds could cap peaks at 35°C or push to 36°C. Historical May averages hover around 35°C under similar subtropical high pressure ridges, with dry air masses limiting convective cooling; 37°C or higher remains unlikely per model guidance. Resolution hinges on PMD's official airport station reading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Karachi on May 16?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 16?
36°C 37%
35°C 31%
37°C or higher 19%
34°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-05-16
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
12%
35°C
31%
36°C
37%
37°C or higher
19%
36°C 37%
35°C 31%
37°C or higher 19%
34°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-05-16
27°C or below
$979 交易量
<1%
28°C
$711 交易量
<1%
29°C
$681 交易量
1%
30°C
$1,132 交易量
1%
31°C
$825 交易量
<1%
32°C
$467 交易量
1%
33°C
$195 交易量
1%
34°C
$327 交易量
12%
35°C
$202 交易量
31%
36°C
$236 交易量
37%
37°C or higher
$415 交易量
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the Pakistan Meteorological Department's (PMD) latest forecast, issued May 14, projecting a maximum temperature of 34–36°C in Karachi on May 16 amid continued hot, humid conditions with west/southwesterly winds and morning humidity of 65–75%. This narrow range fuels the tight competition between 36°C (35.5% implied probability) and 35°C (30.5%), as subtle factors like sea breeze timing, urban heat island effects, and potential isolated coastal clouds could cap peaks at 35°C or push to 36°C. Historical May averages hover around 35°C under similar subtropical high pressure ridges, with dry air masses limiting convective cooling; 37°C or higher remains unlikely per model guidance. Resolution hinges on PMD's official airport station reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$6,170結束日期
2026-05-16市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the Pakistan Meteorological Department's (PMD) latest forecast, issued May 14, projecting a maximum temperature of 34–36°C in Karachi on May 16 amid continued hot, humid conditions with west/southwesterly winds and morning humidity of 65–75%. This narrow range fuels the tight competition between 36°C (35.5% implied probability) and 35°C (30.5%), as subtle factors like sea breeze timing, urban heat island effects, and potential isolated coastal clouds could cap peaks at 35°C or push to 36°C. Historical May averages hover around 35°C under similar subtropical high pressure ridges, with dry air masses limiting convective cooling; 37°C or higher remains unlikely per model guidance. Resolution hinges on PMD's official airport station reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$6,170結束日期
2026-05-16市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the Pakistan Meteorological Department's (PMD) latest forecast, issued May 14, projecting a maximum temperature of 34–36°C in Karachi on May 16 amid continued hot, humid conditions with west/southwesterly winds and morning humidity of 65–75%. This narrow range fuels the tight competition between 36°C (35.5% implied probability) and 35°C (30.5%), as subtle factors like sea breeze timing, urban heat island effects, and potential isolated coastal clouds could cap peaks at 35°C or push to 36°C. Historical May averages hover around 35°C under similar subtropical high pressure ridges, with dry air masses limiting convective cooling; 37°C or higher remains unlikely per model guidance. Resolution hinges on PMD's official airport station reading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions