National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus currently project a daytime high near 70°F in Denver on May 17, anchoring the 90% market-implied probability for 71°F or below. This cooler outlook results from an incoming air mass combined with increased cloud cover and a chance of afternoon thunderstorms that restrict solar heating. Denver’s climatological May average high stands near 76°F, so the current guidance sits notably below seasonal norms. Traders are watching for any late adjustments in NWS model runs or storm timing that could push readings into the low 70s, though the low odds assigned to 74°F and higher reflect the strong agreement across official guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日丹佛的最高溫度?
71°F or below 90%
72-73°F 7%
74-75°F 1.0%
76-77°F <1%
$21,185 交易量
$21,185 交易量
71°F or below
90%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
71°F or below 90%
72-73°F 7%
74-75°F 1.0%
76-77°F <1%
$21,185 交易量
$21,185 交易量
71°F or below
90%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus currently project a daytime high near 70°F in Denver on May 17, anchoring the 90% market-implied probability for 71°F or below. This cooler outlook results from an incoming air mass combined with increased cloud cover and a chance of afternoon thunderstorms that restrict solar heating. Denver’s climatological May average high stands near 76°F, so the current guidance sits notably below seasonal norms. Traders are watching for any late adjustments in NWS model runs or storm timing that could push readings into the low 70s, though the low odds assigned to 74°F and higher reflect the strong agreement across official guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions