Latest National Weather Service guidance shows a robust late-season cold front driving unseasonably chilly conditions across the Front Range, with northerly flow and an Arctic air mass expected to limit Denver’s high on May 18 to the mid-40s °F. This places the day well below the 71 °F May climatological average and firmly inside the market’s dominant 61 °F-or-below bin. Model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF remains tightly clustered on this outcome, with only modest differences in boundary-layer mixing that are unlikely to push readings above 60 °F. A sudden warm-air advection or significant model shift in the next 48 hours could theoretically raise the high into the low 60s, but current observations and ensemble spreads make such a reversal improbable before the market resolves.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月18日丹佛的最高溫度?
61°F or below 99.0%
62-63°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
61°F or below
99%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
61°F or below 99.0%
62-63°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
61°F or below
99%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest National Weather Service guidance shows a robust late-season cold front driving unseasonably chilly conditions across the Front Range, with northerly flow and an Arctic air mass expected to limit Denver’s high on May 18 to the mid-40s °F. This places the day well below the 71 °F May climatological average and firmly inside the market’s dominant 61 °F-or-below bin. Model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF remains tightly clustered on this outcome, with only modest differences in boundary-layer mixing that are unlikely to push readings above 60 °F. A sudden warm-air advection or significant model shift in the next 48 hours could theoretically raise the high into the low 60s, but current observations and ensemble spreads make such a reversal improbable before the market resolves.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions