National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport, the official measurement site, project a high near 90°F today under sunny skies with light and variable winds, driving trader consensus toward the 90-91°F outcome at 46.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs showing a stable high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and showers, allowing above-average May warmth—historical averages hover around 86°F amid typical sea-breeze influences. Lower probabilities for 88-89°F (24.5%) and 92-93°F (18.5%) account for uncertainties like afternoon convection or slight model divergences, with real-time observations through evening expected to refine the peak temperature on the Saffir-Simpson-relevant heat scale.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月15日邁阿密的最高溫度?
5月15日邁阿密的最高溫度?
90-91°F 46%
88-89°F 25%
92-93°F 18%
86-87°F 9.1%
$37,467 交易量
$37,467 交易量
華氏81度或以下
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
25%
90-91°F
46%
92-93°F
18%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
<1%
華氏100度或以上
<1%
90-91°F 46%
88-89°F 25%
92-93°F 18%
86-87°F 9.1%
$37,467 交易量
$37,467 交易量
華氏81度或以下
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
25%
90-91°F
46%
92-93°F
18%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
<1%
華氏100度或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport, the official measurement site, project a high near 90°F today under sunny skies with light and variable winds, driving trader consensus toward the 90-91°F outcome at 46.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs showing a stable high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and showers, allowing above-average May warmth—historical averages hover around 86°F amid typical sea-breeze influences. Lower probabilities for 88-89°F (24.5%) and 92-93°F (18.5%) account for uncertainties like afternoon convection or slight model divergences, with real-time observations through evening expected to refine the peak temperature on the Saffir-Simpson-relevant heat scale.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions