Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 39% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) reaching 58-59°F on May 14, closely tracking the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a high near 60°F amid partly sunny to mostly cloudy skies and 20-40% rain chances. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific has delivered cool, moist marine air, fostering low-level stratus clouds that cap daytime heating, as confirmed by KSEA observations logging 55-60°F anomalies over the past 48 hours following early May's record warmth. Forecast model ensembles indicate limited intensification potential, with partial clearing as a key variable that could nudge peaks toward 60-61°F (20%). Hourly updates from NOAA will sharpen resolution as the afternoon progresses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seattle on May 14?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 14?
58-59°F 38%
60-61°F 24%
56-57°F 22%
62-63°F 10%
最新
$32,270 交易量
最新
$32,270 交易量
2026-05-14
55°F or below
3%
56-57°F
22%
58-59°F
38%
60-61°F
24%
62-63°F
10%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
58-59°F 38%
60-61°F 24%
56-57°F 22%
62-63°F 10%
最新
$32,270 交易量
最新
$32,270 交易量
2026-05-14
55°F or below
$6,661 交易量
3%
56-57°F
$5,375 交易量
22%
58-59°F
$1,879 交易量
38%
60-61°F
$3,451 交易量
24%
62-63°F
$2,979 交易量
10%
64-65°F
$2,937 交易量
1%
66-67°F
$2,033 交易量
1%
68-69°F
$1,781 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$1,858 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$1,531 交易量
<1%
74°F or higher
$1,783 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 39% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) reaching 58-59°F on May 14, closely tracking the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a high near 60°F amid partly sunny to mostly cloudy skies and 20-40% rain chances. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific has delivered cool, moist marine air, fostering low-level stratus clouds that cap daytime heating, as confirmed by KSEA observations logging 55-60°F anomalies over the past 48 hours following early May's record warmth. Forecast model ensembles indicate limited intensification potential, with partial clearing as a key variable that could nudge peaks toward 60-61°F (20%). Hourly updates from NOAA will sharpen resolution as the afternoon progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$32,270結束日期
2026-05-14市場開放時間
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 39% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) reaching 58-59°F on May 14, closely tracking the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a high near 60°F amid partly sunny to mostly cloudy skies and 20-40% rain chances. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific has delivered cool, moist marine air, fostering low-level stratus clouds that cap daytime heating, as confirmed by KSEA observations logging 55-60°F anomalies over the past 48 hours following early May's record warmth. Forecast model ensembles indicate limited intensification potential, with partial clearing as a key variable that could nudge peaks toward 60-61°F (20%). Hourly updates from NOAA will sharpen resolution as the afternoon progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$32,270結束日期
2026-05-14市場開放時間
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 39% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) reaching 58-59°F on May 14, closely tracking the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a high near 60°F amid partly sunny to mostly cloudy skies and 20-40% rain chances. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific has delivered cool, moist marine air, fostering low-level stratus clouds that cap daytime heating, as confirmed by KSEA observations logging 55-60°F anomalies over the past 48 hours following early May's record warmth. Forecast model ensembles indicate limited intensification potential, with partial clearing as a key variable that could nudge peaks toward 60-61°F (20%). Hourly updates from NOAA will sharpen resolution as the afternoon progresses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions