Latest Météo-France guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS project Paris’s nocturnal minimum on May 17 near 8–10 °C at Le Bourget Airport, the resolution station, under persistent overcast skies and a cool Atlantic air mass that limits daytime heating and radiative cooling overnight. This places the 10 °C outcome at the center of model consensus, with 9 °C and 11 °C brackets capturing the typical ensemble spread arising from small differences in cloud cover and wind speed. A modest ridge building from the southwest offers slight warming potential above 11 °C, while any deeper trough could push readings toward 8 °C; traders therefore price these three bins most heavily as the final 48-hour window approaches.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日巴黎最低溫度？
5月17日巴黎最低溫度？
10°C 34%
9°C 28%
11°C 22%
12°C或以上 10%
最新
最新
2026-05-17
2°C或以下
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
7%
9°C
27%
10°C
34%
11°C
28%
12°C或以上
10%
10°C 34%
9°C 28%
11°C 22%
12°C或以上 10%
最新
最新
2026-05-17
2°C或以下
$60 交易量
<1%
3°C
$59 交易量
<1%
4°C
$217 交易量
1%
5°C
$209 交易量
1%
6°C
$233 交易量
1%
7°C
$37 交易量
1%
8°C
$29 交易量
7%
9°C
$122 交易量
27%
10°C
$58 交易量
34%
11°C
$53 交易量
28%
12°C或以上
$98 交易量
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS project Paris’s nocturnal minimum on May 17 near 8–10 °C at Le Bourget Airport, the resolution station, under persistent overcast skies and a cool Atlantic air mass that limits daytime heating and radiative cooling overnight. This places the 10 °C outcome at the center of model consensus, with 9 °C and 11 °C brackets capturing the typical ensemble spread arising from small differences in cloud cover and wind speed. A modest ridge building from the southwest offers slight warming potential above 11 °C, while any deeper trough could push readings toward 8 °C; traders therefore price these three bins most heavily as the final 48-hour window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
交易量
$1,175結束日期
2026-05-17市場開放時間
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS project Paris’s nocturnal minimum on May 17 near 8–10 °C at Le Bourget Airport, the resolution station, under persistent overcast skies and a cool Atlantic air mass that limits daytime heating and radiative cooling overnight. This places the 10 °C outcome at the center of model consensus, with 9 °C and 11 °C brackets capturing the typical ensemble spread arising from small differences in cloud cover and wind speed. A modest ridge building from the southwest offers slight warming potential above 11 °C, while any deeper trough could push readings toward 8 °C; traders therefore price these three bins most heavily as the final 48-hour window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,175結束日期
2026-05-17市場開放時間
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETLatest Météo-France guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS project Paris’s nocturnal minimum on May 17 near 8–10 °C at Le Bourget Airport, the resolution station, under persistent overcast skies and a cool Atlantic air mass that limits daytime heating and radiative cooling overnight. This places the 10 °C outcome at the center of model consensus, with 9 °C and 11 °C brackets capturing the typical ensemble spread arising from small differences in cloud cover and wind speed. A modest ridge building from the southwest offers slight warming potential above 11 °C, while any deeper trough could push readings toward 8 °C; traders therefore price these three bins most heavily as the final 48-hour window approaches.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions