Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF project an overnight minimum near Paris-Le Bourget Airport between 8 °C and 9 °C on May 18, supported by a cool northwesterly flow and lingering marine influence over northern France. Trader consensus splits tightly between these two outcomes because subtle differences in cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer mixing can alter radiative cooling rates by 1 °C. Clearer skies after midnight would enhance surface heat loss and favor the lower bracket, while increased low-level cloud or light winds would retain warmth and push the reading toward 9 °C. Historical May minima for the station average 9–10 °C, so current conditions sit slightly below climatology but remain within normal spring variability. Fresh model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will tighten the range ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月18日巴黎最低溫度?
8°C 32%
9°C 31%
7°C 17.7%
10°C 6%
2°C或以下
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
3%
7°C
18%
8°C
32%
9°C
31%
10°C
6%
11°C
5%
12°C或以上
2%
8°C 32%
9°C 31%
7°C 17.7%
10°C 6%
2°C或以下
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
3%
7°C
18%
8°C
32%
9°C
31%
10°C
6%
11°C
5%
12°C或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF project an overnight minimum near Paris-Le Bourget Airport between 8 °C and 9 °C on May 18, supported by a cool northwesterly flow and lingering marine influence over northern France. Trader consensus splits tightly between these two outcomes because subtle differences in cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer mixing can alter radiative cooling rates by 1 °C. Clearer skies after midnight would enhance surface heat loss and favor the lower bracket, while increased low-level cloud or light winds would retain warmth and push the reading toward 9 °C. Historical May minima for the station average 9–10 °C, so current conditions sit slightly below climatology but remain within normal spring variability. Fresh model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will tighten the range ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions