Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 56-57°F (99.8% implied probability) for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport's (KSEA) highest temperature on May 13, backed by National Weather Service observations showing mid-afternoon readings stalling near 55°F under persistent marine stratus clouds and southwest onshore flow. This sharp cooldown from early May's record 81°F highs at KSEA stems from a weakening upper-level ridge enabling cool Pacific air advection, with dew points around 50°F suppressing further warming amid overcast skies and 20% rain chances. Model consensus aligned with these trends; realistic challenges like brief cloud breaks for 58°F+ would require unobserved late-day peaks, improbable per hourly data. Resolution awaits finalized Wunderground KSEA records to whole-degree Fahrenheit precision.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seattle on May 13?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 13?
56-57°F 99.8%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$127,594 交易量
$127,594 交易量
56-57°F
100%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72°F or higher
<1%
56-57°F 99.8%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$127,594 交易量
$127,594 交易量
56-57°F
100%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 11, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 56-57°F (99.8% implied probability) for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport's (KSEA) highest temperature on May 13, backed by National Weather Service observations showing mid-afternoon readings stalling near 55°F under persistent marine stratus clouds and southwest onshore flow. This sharp cooldown from early May's record 81°F highs at KSEA stems from a weakening upper-level ridge enabling cool Pacific air advection, with dew points around 50°F suppressing further warming amid overcast skies and 20% rain chances. Model consensus aligned with these trends; realistic challenges like brief cloud breaks for 58°F+ would require unobserved late-day peaks, improbable per hourly data. Resolution awaits finalized Wunderground KSEA records to whole-degree Fahrenheit precision.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions